NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	79		Excitement	3.6 [1111]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +25.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	1.0 [1080]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -11.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.11	10	42%	0.08	4	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Marcelo Huertas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.12	7	25%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.03	1	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	5	25%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	14	32%	-0.08	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	0.05	11	41%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.27	0.04	0.06	18	81%	0.29	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.11	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.05
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	4	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	25%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.04	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	13	42%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	-0.08	12	8%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	1.8	30.2	15.7	25.2	2.3	26.4	131.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +41.6%

LAL -5.8%

OKC +12.5%

LAL -1.6%

OKC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	13.5	14.9	77.5	112.0	105.1
season	15.2	14.4		100.1	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.5		104.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	14.2	15.6	15.4	15.0
OKC	14.0	11.9	13.1	15.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	47	47	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.15	-4	-29	25	14.4	15.5	-1.09	14.9	12.3	2.65
Larry Nance Jr.	19	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-33	33	14.1	15.2	-1.09	14.2	13.4	0.87
Marcelo Huertas	56	55	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-30	27	14.5	15.6	-1.17	14.9	11.8	3.11
Tarik Black	23	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.42	-16	-17	1	16.1	14.7	1.47	14.5	13.2	1.27
Ryan Kelly	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-23	13	15.3	14.8	0.44	13.1	13.7	-0.61
Robert Sacre	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-37	41	14.0	15.5	-1.49	13.1	13.8	-0.71
Roy Hibbert	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.34	-21	-12	-9	15.2	14.8	0.34	13.4	13.6	-0.22
Kobe Bryant	40	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.34	-24	-9	-15	15.7	14.5	1.13	13.2	13.7	-0.46
Jordan Clarkson	75	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	-11	-11	15.1	14.6	0.54	13.0	15.0	-2.07
Julius Randle	60	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.31	-28	-5	-23	15.1	14.8	0.27	12.6	14.8	-2.20
D'Angelo Russell	73	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.64	-41	8	-49	15.2	14.3	0.90	13.0	14.8	-1.81

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	55	55	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.35	30	3	27	12.3	15.0	-2.63	15.2	14.7	0.53
Serge Ibaka	60	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.31	28	5	23	12.6	14.9	-2.27	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Russell Westbrook	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	6	21	12.6	14.9	-2.27	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Kevin Durant	58	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.39	30	3	27	12.2	15.3	-3.06	15.5	14.2	1.37
Andre Roberson	39	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.24	19	14	5	13.6	13.5	0.13	15.0	15.0	0.10
Anthony Morrow	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	33	-33	12.5	13.9	-1.40	15.2	14.9	0.30
Kyle Singler	53	53	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	28	-23	14.8	12.1	2.69	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Randy Foye	24	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.31	11	22	-11	14.7	13.1	1.58	15.0	15.0	0.06
Nick Collison	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	32	-31	16.0	12.7	3.22	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Cameron Payne	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	38	-43	15.1	13.2	1.92	15.4	14.9	0.48
Josh Huestis	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	38	-43	15.1	13.2	1.92	15.4	14.9	0.48
Dion Waiters	33	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.36	12	21	-9	14.6	13.0	1.64	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Enes Kanter	32	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.38	12	21	-9	14.5	13.0	1.50	15.1	14.9	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 75, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
DET 86, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DAL 90, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%