NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	111		Excitement	4.9 [843]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +20.3%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.1 [458]		LVP	Lou Amundson (NYK): -12.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.24	0.03	0.07	18	83%	0.24	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.01	13	59%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	21	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	33%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	9	89%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	9	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	28.5	15.7	23.5	1.7	27.4	120.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +24.3%

NYK -4.3%

CHA +5.4%

CHA +25.1%

NYK -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	14.9	119.4	106.6	105.1
season	15.1	15.6		105.5	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		106.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.3	16.6	14.8	17.3	15.8
NYK	17.0	12.8	18.8	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	30	30	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	-1	16	15.6	15.9	-0.22	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Al Jefferson	58	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	8	-2	15.4	16.4	-0.94	15.0	16.4	-1.39
Marvin Williams	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	4	6	16.2	15.1	1.10	15.8	15.1	0.70
Spencer Hawes	35	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	2	10	15.1	16.2	-1.08	15.4	15.6	-0.24
Kemba Walker	67	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.20	4	10	-6	15.6	16.3	-0.78	16.1	14.0	2.12
Courtney Lee	70	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	8	-2	16.0	15.2	0.75	15.3	16.1	-0.76
Jeremy Lin	65	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	11	-8	16.1	15.0	1.07	14.6	17.4	-2.84
Frank Kaminsky	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	8	-2	15.5	16.1	-0.65	16.4	14.7	1.70
Cody Zeller	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	6	2	16.4	15.4	0.94	16.4	15.0	1.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-12	10	10.8	15.8	-5.01	17.0	15.7	1.31
Kyle O'Quinn	25	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-12	10	12.4	16.7	-4.30	17.0	15.3	1.76
Carmelo Anthony	72	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-11	8	15.2	16.9	-1.74	16.3	13.9	2.34
Lou Amundson	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	13.0	15.8	-2.76	16.2	15.7	0.48
Jerian Grant	43	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-10	6	16.3	14.8	1.58	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Sasha Vujacic	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-10	6	15.8	15.2	0.52	17.0	14.6	2.49
Arron Afflalo	57	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	15.1	16.3	-1.24	15.4	16.5	-1.18
Derrick Williams	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-7	0	16.5	13.3	3.24	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Langston Galloway	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	14.8	16.3	-1.58	16.1	15.5	0.63
Cleanthony Early	21	22	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	0	-14	16.7	15.2	1.56	14.0	16.3	-2.28
Robin Lopez	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-2	-10	16.7	12.4	4.30	15.3	17.0	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 110, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DEN 105, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
HOU 108, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%