NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	5.4 [703]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +16.2%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	1.2 [376]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): -14.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.22	0.06	0.12	9	111%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	15	47%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	19	47%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Matt Maloney	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	19	55%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	15	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	11	38%	-0.09	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	27.5	15.0	23.1	2.5	25.6	116.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +59.7%

PHX -7.2%

PHX -7.7%

HOU +4.8%

HOU +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.6	113.7	93.7	102.5
season	15.7	15.0		104.5	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.2		100.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	15.3	14.6	21.0	16.0
PHX	14.4	14.1	14.8	14.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.09	23	-4	27	15.6	18.4	-2.87	14.4	13.8	0.57
Clyde Drexler	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-1	21	15.1	19.0	-3.82	14.8	12.9	1.90
Hakeem Olajuwon	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	2	15	15.8	16.4	-0.56	14.4	14.2	0.16
Charles Barkley	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	3	13	17.1	14.0	3.13	14.5	14.0	0.58
Matt Bullard	27	26	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	2	15	20.6	14.2	6.39	12.8	14.9	-2.16
Rodrick Rhodes	27	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	15	-11	18.6	14.9	3.70	13.7	14.6	-0.83
Mario Elie	16	17	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	14	-9	12.8	16.6	-3.81	14.8	14.2	0.59
Brent Price	55	54	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	19	-19	15.1	17.2	-2.15	14.6	13.9	0.72
Kevin Willis	47	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	22	-25	14.0	17.9	-3.83	14.0	14.7	-0.61
Eddie Johnson	14	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	23	-27	18.4	15.6	2.87	13.8	14.4	-0.57

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	9	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-21	23	11.9	14.6	-2.70	17.4	15.8	1.59
Marko Milic	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	14.0	14.3	-0.35	20.0	15.8	4.15
George McCloud	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	11.8	14.5	-2.67	24.1	15.3	8.81
Hot Rod Williams	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-14	9	14.2	14.4	-0.19	16.7	15.4	1.27
Dennis Scott	31	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-10	1	15.0	14.0	0.94	15.3	16.3	-0.91
Danny Manning	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-9	-1	15.3	13.8	1.46	17.9	14.8	3.16
Antonio McDyess	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-9	-1	14.5	14.1	0.42	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Steve Nash	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-9	-1	14.4	14.2	0.21	16.4	15.1	1.26
Jason Kidd	81	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-3	-13	13.9	16.8	-2.87	15.4	19.3	-3.88
Clifford Robinson	69	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-4	-11	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.9	18.5	-3.63
Kevin Johnson	80	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.03	-19	0	-19	14.7	12.6	2.06	15.2	20.3	-5.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, LAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%
IND 104, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
MIL 96, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%