NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	8.8 [171]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +30.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	3.8 [153]		LVP	Patrick Patterson (TOR): -23.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.12,0.23,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.07	0.24	0.00	7	86%	0.36	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	5	55%	0.14	0	0.00	10	90%	0.10
Norman Powell	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	4	117%	0.21	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	17	60%	0.19	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.04
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,0,-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	17	58%	0.11	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	9	11%	-0.17	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Munford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	86%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	1	80%	0.09	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	10	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.00	10	48%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	18	40%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.13	0.03	10	50%	-0.06	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	15	37%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.6	29.2	15.6	28.3	1.6	42.3	140.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +57.6%

TOR +25.5%

MEM -28.1%

MEM -1.3%

MEM -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	14.9	108.8	104.4	105.1
season	16.1	15.7		107.2	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.8		106.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.6	15.5	13.7	15.6	15.6
MEM	14.5	15.2	18.4	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	69	68	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.31	18	-14	32	15.6	15.4	0.27	15.8	17.0	-1.24
DeMar DeRozan	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-7	18	14.9	18.3	-3.40	15.2	19.4	-4.16
Kyle Lowry	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	8	-12	16.2	13.6	2.60	15.8	16.9	-1.10
Norman Powell	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-6	16	14.8	17.2	-2.48	15.5	17.2	-1.69
Patrick Patterson	49	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.44	-6	10	-16	14.5	16.8	-2.34	16.2	15.9	0.32
Jason Thompson	42	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	-6	16	16.8	14.5	2.34	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Terrence Ross	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	10	-16	17.2	14.8	2.48	17.2	15.5	1.69
Cory Joseph	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	3	-2	15.8	15.4	0.41	18.0	14.5	3.59
Bismack Biyombo	22	23	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	18	-32	15.4	15.6	-0.27	17.0	15.8	1.24

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	34	35	0.42	-0.92	1.34	-0.08	17	-21	38	16.2	16.0	0.25	15.9	15.4	0.56
Xavier Munford	41	40	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-11	18	17.4	15.0	2.43	15.7	15.5	0.27
Lance Stephenson	53	53	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-14	24	16.8	15.1	1.71	16.5	14.2	2.29
Vince Carter	38	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.43	14	-18	32	15.8	16.3	-0.45	13.9	16.8	-2.88
JaMychal Green	54	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-11	18	16.2	15.9	0.31	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Chris Andersen	37	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	7	-18	15.9	16.2	-0.31	16.2	15.1	1.14
Tony Allen	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	12	-28	16.3	15.9	0.40	16.4	14.9	1.43
Jordan Farmar	50	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	7	-18	15.0	17.4	-2.43	15.5	15.7	-0.27
Matt Barnes	53	52	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	14	-32	15.1	17.4	-2.31	15.0	16.3	-1.24
Zach Randolph	56	55	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.30	-19	15	-34	16.2	15.8	0.40	15.5	15.7	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.16,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 117, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.16,0	91.7%
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	91.5%
UTA 100, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.01,0.01,0	91.5%