NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	117		Excitement	8.8 [169]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +44.1%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	6.4 [250]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -34.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.44	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.32,0.44,0.44	0.27	0.22	0.05	18	84%	0.50	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04
Darius Miller	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.12	0.07	6	92%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.07
Jameer Nelson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0	0.11	-0.10	0.01	25	58%	0.18	2	-0.18	5	80%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.00	9	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.07	0.02	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	9	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	-0.20	-0.02	16	51%	-0.05	3	-0.13	9	89%	0.03
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34,-0.35	-0.35	-0.08	-0.27	0.00	17	42%	-0.16	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.7	22.4	15.3	22.4	2.3	39.7	132.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +41.6%

NOP +0.5%

NOP +18.2%

IND -9.5%

IND -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	14.7	119.4	114.3	107.5
season	13.6	14.8		108.0	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.6		106.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.5	14.7	12.7	14.6	13.8
IND	15.8	16.0	15.0	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	62	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-1	7	14.0	13.6	0.38	14.9	16.7	-1.83
DeMarcus Cousins	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	-1	7	14.4	11.7	2.69	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Anthony Davis	83	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.1	12.1	2.08	15.4	16.4	-0.93
Jameer Nelson	59	60	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	13.3	14.6	-1.27	15.1	16.3	-1.15
Tony Allen	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	6	-7	14.3	13.4	0.93	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Dante Cunningham	35	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-6	17	13.4	14.0	-0.62	15.6	15.5	0.13
E'Twaun Moore	56	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-1	7	13.5	14.3	-0.76	16.4	14.4	2.01
Darius Miller	38	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	6	-7	12.6	14.6	-1.99	16.5	14.9	1.54
Ian Clark	30	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	16	-27	14.0	13.7	0.30	16.6	15.2	1.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	47	46	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-8	11	16.6	14.6	1.91	13.2	14.4	-1.27
Al Jefferson	25	27	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-6	7	16.8	15.1	1.66	11.8	14.6	-2.78
Joe Young	23	21	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	17.8	14.9	2.96	12.1	14.3	-2.14
TJ Leaf	22	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	17.6	15.0	2.68	12.6	14.1	-1.55
Lance Stephenson	57	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-8	11	16.1	14.8	1.26	13.6	14.1	-0.47
Alex Poythress	1	0	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-3	1	8.0	15.6	-7.64	0.0	13.8	-13.83
Bojan Bogdanovic	45	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.3	-1.57	14.5	13.2	1.36
Darren Collison	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	15.1	16.3	-1.18	14.4	12.7	1.76
Myles Turner	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	15.1	16.8	-1.64	14.6	11.8	2.78
Thaddeus Young	77	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	3	-11	15.0	17.7	-2.74	14.1	12.6	1.55
Victor Oladipo	59	60	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	10	-25	14.6	17.0	-2.39	13.9	13.7	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.14,0.16,0	92.1%
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	92.0%
POR 91, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	91.8%