NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	6.5 [486]		MVP	Antoine Carr (UTA): +14.9%
Washington Bullets	93		Comeback	4.8 [266]		LVP	Greg Foster (UTA): -8.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	9	55%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.08	0.03	8	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.05	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	25	52%	0.12	3	-0.07	11	73%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	76%	0.10	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.05
Stephen Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	83%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
John Stockton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	53%	-0.00	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Greg Foster	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	73%	0.17	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	14	71%	0.17	3	-0.11	10	70%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	63%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	13	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.7	29.2	15.5	26.3	1.6	27.2	131.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +17.5%

UTA +6.3%

UTA +24.6%

UTA +3.2%

WAS -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.6	114.9	105.7	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		110.8	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.0		103.3	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	18.9	13.5	18.8	16.5
WAS	16.0	16.1	17.8	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	67	69	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.33	20	-13	33	15.1	21.4	-6.39	16.6	15.7	0.83
Jeff Hornacek	65	65	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-9	25	15.4	19.8	-4.34	16.7	15.6	1.05
Karl Malone	72	70	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.26	12	-5	17	15.3	22.3	-6.93	16.8	14.7	2.09
Stephen Howard	14	15	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-7	21	13.5	17.1	-3.61	16.1	16.5	-0.39
Howard Eisley	20	22	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-3	13	14.0	17.3	-3.28	15.5	16.7	-1.12
Antoine Carr	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	9	-11	19.3	14.6	4.69	15.6	16.9	-1.32
John Stockton	67	66	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	10	-13	17.3	14.0	3.28	16.7	15.5	1.12
Greg Ostertag	13	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	4	-1	14.3	16.9	-2.61	19.2	15.8	3.39
Greg Foster	17	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	16.5	16.5	0.00	14.1	16.9	-2.76
Shandon Anderson	22	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	16	-25	19.8	15.4	4.34	15.6	16.7	-1.05
Adam Keefe	22	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	17	-27	19.2	15.6	3.55	16.3	16.4	-0.17
Chris Morris	20	19	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.03	-13	20	-33	21.4	15.1	6.39	15.7	16.6	-0.83

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	24	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-10	13	16.0	16.5	-0.53	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Ashraf Amaya	7	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-10	13	15.6	16.5	-0.89	15.2	16.7	-1.41
Jaren Jackson	26	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-7	7	15.5	16.7	-1.20	19.6	15.4	4.22
Gheorghe Muresan	58	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-10	13	16.9	15.4	1.45	18.1	13.3	4.78
Harvey Grant	30	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	16.1	16.5	-0.43	16.6	16.5	0.16
Rod Strickland	74	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-8	9	16.6	15.2	1.39	16.4	17.4	-1.01
Chris Whitney	15	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-2	-3	14.8	16.7	-1.91	14.5	17.0	-2.49
Calbert Cheaney	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	2	-11	16.7	14.7	1.99	15.9	19.9	-3.97
Tracy Murray	65	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	16.1	17.1	-0.95	16.2	17.6	-1.41
Juwan Howard	68	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.28	-17	10	-27	16.6	15.6	1.02	15.9	18.6	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	92.0%
POR 91, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	91.9%
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	91.8%