NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Excitement	3.5 [1129]		MVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): +12.2%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.0 [900]		LVP	Luis Scola (TOR): -5.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	10	75%	0.12	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	16	65%	0.13	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	2	112%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	27	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	47%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	13	69%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	6	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	54%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	80%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	22	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	14	39%	-0.02	4	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	27.2	14.8	27.9	1.0	28.2	129.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +40.9%

OKC +2.9%

OKC +2.0%

OKC +0.9%

OKC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	TOR	NBA	OKC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	14.9	124.0	105.3	105.1
season	14.4	16.1		111.5	107.2
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	12.9	15.5	14.6	14.3
TOR	16.5	17.6	14.5	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	62	63	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.51	39	-20	59	13.8	15.2	-1.37	17.6	12.4	5.13
Russell Westbrook	65	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.40	35	-16	51	14.1	14.8	-0.76	17.4	12.6	4.79
Steven Adams	54	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.36	33	-14	47	14.1	14.6	-0.57	17.4	13.7	3.66
Andre Roberson	46	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.21	25	-6	31	14.7	14.0	0.76	17.7	14.1	3.64
Kevin Durant	75	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	4	11	14.6	13.5	1.08	15.8	16.1	-0.39
Dion Waiters	56	57	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.18	10	9	1	14.2	14.5	-0.26	14.8	17.4	-2.68
Cameron Payne	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	13.5	14.4	-0.88	13.2	16.0	-2.79
Anthony Morrow	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	26	-33	13.6	14.5	-0.84	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Kyle Singler	27	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.46	-19	38	-57	14.9	14.1	0.84	11.9	17.3	-5.38
Enes Kanter	42	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.30	-14	33	-47	14.6	14.1	0.57	13.7	17.4	-3.66
Randy Foye	31	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.34	-16	35	-51	14.8	14.1	0.76	12.6	17.4	-4.79

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	37	36	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-24	29	13.3	17.5	-4.17	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Delon Wright	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	14.0	16.0	-1.99	12.3	14.5	-2.20
Jason Thompson	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	13.7	16.0	-2.28	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Lucas Nogueira	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	14.0	16.0	-1.99	12.3	14.5	-2.20
Cory Joseph	55	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-20	21	14.4	17.8	-3.38	13.9	14.9	-0.93
Patrick Patterson	60	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-13	7	14.6	17.9	-3.33	14.5	14.1	0.42
Bismack Biyombo	35	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-15	11	14.1	16.8	-2.74	15.3	13.7	1.63
Jonas Valanciunas	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	0	-19	17.3	14.0	3.28	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Luis Scola	28	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	-2	-15	18.9	14.6	4.38	14.5	14.2	0.25
Norman Powell	53	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	3	-25	17.4	13.9	3.47	14.1	14.6	-0.55
DeMar DeRozan	64	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	7	-33	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.7	13.5	1.15
Kyle Lowry	69	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	0	-19	17.0	12.7	4.28	14.7	13.3	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, UTA 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
HOU 106, UTA 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
POR 112, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%