NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	7.1 [428]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +24.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	2.1 [113]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAC): -20.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24	0.23	0.08	0.07	11	100%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	5	57%	0.09	1	-0.00	11	55%	-0.18
Pablo Prigioni	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.09	-0.06	0.06	14	59%	-0.00	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	11	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	8	0%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.05	0.05	10	70%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	61%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.07
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.12	0.01	17	55%	0.21	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.05
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	74%	0.19	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.10	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	33.5	16.3	28.4	2.0	50.8	155.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.4%

NOP +25.2%

NOP +12.1%

LAC -23.7%

LAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	14.9	101.9	104.8	105.1
season	14.8	14.3		106.6	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.9		107.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	13.6	16.7	10.8	14.1
NOP	13.8	12.6	15.3	13.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	69	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-9	14	13.1	16.1	-3.03	14.6	12.3	2.28
Jamal Crawford	74	75	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-10	16	13.4	15.9	-2.51	13.3	15.0	-1.75
Paul Pierce	43	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-2	0	14.9	13.5	1.42	14.8	13.1	1.71
DeAndre Jordan	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-9	14	14.0	14.2	-0.16	14.4	12.3	2.06
Pablo Prigioni	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	0	-4	14.7	13.8	0.92	11.8	14.5	-2.67
Cole Aldrich	26	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	4	-12	15.0	13.8	1.21	13.1	14.0	-0.92
Chris Paul	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-4	4	13.8	14.7	-0.92	14.5	11.8	2.67
Luc Mbah a Moute	29	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	6	-16	15.9	13.4	2.51	15.0	13.3	1.75
Austin Rivers	58	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	13.0	15.4	-2.42	12.8	15.1	-2.33
Wesley Johnson	39	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	5	-14	16.0	12.9	3.08	12.2	14.8	-2.52

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	61	59	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-3	10	14.6	12.6	1.99	15.2	12.6	2.56
Dante Cunningham	86	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-1	6	14.1	12.2	1.94	13.8	15.6	-1.78
Toney Douglas	80	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	-4	12	13.8	13.8	-0.03	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Jrue Holiday	82	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	14.3	11.7	2.59	14.5	12.3	2.20
Alonzo Gee	64	63	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	7	-10	12.9	15.1	-2.24	12.9	15.9	-3.09
Luke Babbitt	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	-1	6	13.9	13.5	0.39	15.4	12.3	3.12
Kendrick Perkins	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	1	2	13.4	14.0	-0.62	14.4	13.9	0.53
Tim Frazier	47	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	5	-6	12.6	14.8	-2.22	13.3	14.7	-1.41
Alexis Ajinca	6	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	9	-14	12.7	13.8	-1.17	5.7	14.6	-8.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.96,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.7%
LAL 83, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
MEM 100, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,1	93.5%