NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	6.1 [598]		MVP	Jon Barry (HOU): +21.3%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	2.3 [818]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): -20.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	16	49%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.07	0.01	16	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jason Hart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	16	59%	0.16	7	-0.22	5	80%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	11	21%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	13	34%	-0.09	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.06	0.02	10	89%	0.24	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	16	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	21	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.03	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	9	10%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	27.2	15.6	28.2	1.7	34.3	137.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.8%

SAC -9.2%

HOU +0.3%

HOU +15.8%

HOU +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.6	97.8	105.4	104.4
season	15.3	16.1		104.7	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.5		101.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	15.7	16.5	13.6	15.1
HOU	17.3	15.6	16.3	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-5	1	16.2	15.0	1.25	12.4	16.7	-4.26
Francisco Garcia	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-4	-1	18.2	14.9	3.30	18.5	16.0	2.45
Mike Bibby	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-9	9	14.7	16.3	-1.69	16.9	14.3	2.58
Kevin Martin	30	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-4	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.48	15.0	16.8	-1.84
Kenny Thomas	32	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	16.1	14.5	1.55	15.3	16.7	-1.48
Peja Stojakovic	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	15.0	15.3	-0.23	16.6	15.2	1.34
Jason Hart	23	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	0	-9	16.3	14.7	1.69	14.3	16.9	-2.58
Brad Miller	77	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-7	5	14.8	16.8	-2.01	16.9	12.5	4.46
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.8	15.8	-1.01	16.4	15.7	0.70
Bonzi Wells	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	15.0	15.5	-0.44	16.2	16.1	0.07

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	73	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	16.5	15.2	1.28	15.2	14.7	0.53
Jon Barry	55	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	1	7	15.0	17.9	-2.90	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Yao Ming	50	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-6	21	15.5	17.1	-1.61	15.2	15.0	0.15
Rafer Alston	66	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	7	-5	16.4	15.8	0.55	14.6	16.1	-1.51
Ryan Bowen	13	12	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	1	7	16.5	16.1	0.39	16.7	14.8	1.91
David Wesley	47	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	5	-1	15.6	16.9	-1.32	15.6	14.6	0.93
Dikembe Mutombo	20	18	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	8	-7	17.6	15.8	1.84	16.3	14.8	1.48
Derek Anderson	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	8	-7	17.9	15.0	2.90	15.7	14.6	1.10
Stromile Swift	44	41	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	13	-17	16.3	16.1	0.13	14.8	15.3	-0.56
Juwan Howard	59	59	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	11	-13	16.2	16.2	0.04	14.5	16.1	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 79, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DEN 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 100, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1	93.9%