NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	83		Excitement	4.8 [879]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +20.7%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	3.0 [1014]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -20.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	12	64%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	14	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
Alex Stepheson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Briante Weber	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	10	65%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	13	23%	-0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.02	13	15%	-0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.05	-0.03	12	73%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	14	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.07	8	94%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	16	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	9	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	26.3	15.5	26.2	1.8	25.1	118.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +53.1%

ATL +0.2%

MEM -14.1%

ATL +8.8%

ATL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	13.9	14.9	87.4	101.1	105.1
season	15.7	14.2		103.4	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		100.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.6	16.1	18.2	16.5	16.5
ATL	14.4	12.0	15.2	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Stepheson	37	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-23	34	16.7	16.4	0.25	14.0	13.9	0.14
Ray McCallum	54	52	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	16.3	16.8	-0.50	14.1	13.6	0.49
PJ Hairston	41	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-13	14	16.0	17.0	-1.01	13.8	14.0	-0.11
Ryan Hollins	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-12	12	16.8	16.4	0.36	14.0	13.8	0.19
Jarell Martin	38	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-16	20	16.6	16.5	0.01	13.9	13.9	-0.08
Tony Allen	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	2	-16	16.8	16.3	0.50	15.0	12.9	2.08
Lance Stephenson	61	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-7	2	16.2	17.1	-0.89	13.6	14.5	-0.95
JaMychal Green	48	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.20	-23	11	-34	16.6	16.4	0.20	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Briante Weber	63	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	3	-18	16.6	16.5	0.02	13.1	15.6	-2.52
Matt Barnes	51	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.18	-25	13	-38	17.0	16.0	0.98	14.1	13.7	0.49

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	61	61	0.73	-0.23	0.97	-0.20	32	-20	52	14.6	12.7	1.88	17.3	15.1	2.18
Kent Bazemore	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.13	24	-12	36	13.7	14.2	-0.45	17.0	15.8	1.19
Kyle Korver	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.17	22	-10	32	13.6	14.5	-0.95	16.1	17.5	-1.49
Kirk Hinrich	28	29	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-3	18	15.5	13.2	2.26	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Kris Humphries	27	28	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	6	0	15.0	13.5	1.57	16.7	16.5	0.24
Jeff Teague	60	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	10	-8	13.4	14.9	-1.47	17.0	15.9	1.10
Al Horford	63	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	11	-10	12.8	16.2	-3.40	16.3	17.0	-0.62
Thabo Sefolosha	47	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.23	-5	17	-22	14.7	13.2	1.49	17.1	15.9	1.21
Mike Muscala	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	12.3	14.0	-1.63	12.5	16.6	-4.13
Tim Hardaway Jr.	33	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	19	-26	14.7	13.5	1.16	15.9	16.9	-1.04
Dennis Schroder	6	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	17	-22	11.8	14.1	-2.22	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Mike Scott	23	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.31	-20	32	-52	12.8	14.3	-1.44	15.1	17.0	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
BOS 92, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIL 90, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	94.2%