NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	4.4 [953]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +16.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.0 [1201]		LVP	Randy Foye (OKC): -7.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.00	14	70%	0.25	5	-0.08	18	89%	0.04
Enes Kanter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.00	9	78%	0.15	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	13	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	7	60%	0.10	7	-0.12	11	73%	0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	8	12%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.05	-0.04	19	43%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	20	51%	-0.01	2	-0.01	11	91%	0.03
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	0.08	23	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	35.6	15.5	27.4	2.5	37.5	148.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +49.8%

OKC +4.5%

OKC +12.6%

MIL -17.9%

OKC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIL	NBA	OKC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	14.9	105.1	97.0	105.1
season	14.4	14.8		111.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.1	13.8	17.0	15.8	14.3
MIL	17.2	14.4	14.3	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	81	80	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-7	22	14.6	13.2	1.37	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Serge Ibaka	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-5	18	14.3	14.5	-0.15	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Steven Adams	61	59	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-5	18	15.1	13.1	2.01	14.1	15.7	-1.64
Kevin Durant	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.4	16.7	-2.34
Kyle Singler	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	5	-2	13.7	14.9	-1.25	16.0	13.6	2.42
Dion Waiters	58	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	14	-20	14.6	14.0	0.54	14.6	14.9	-0.26
Andre Roberson	21	23	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	5	-2	13.3	14.6	-1.28	15.1	14.6	0.50
Enes Kanter	36	38	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	14	-20	13.7	14.7	-0.98	16.3	13.8	2.55
Anthony Morrow	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	6	-4	3.0	14.5	-11.46	0.0	14.7	-14.75
Randy Foye	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	15	-22	14.5	14.3	0.28	14.1	15.0	-0.90

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Ennis	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-6	4	19.5	14.0	5.43	12.3	14.7	-2.40
Rashad Vaughn	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	17.4	14.1	3.32	11.7	15.1	-3.40
Jabari Parker	76	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-18	28	13.6	18.5	-4.86	14.9	12.7	2.21
Greg Monroe	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-10	12	15.0	14.4	0.53	14.7	13.8	0.89
Miles Plumlee	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	2	-12	14.4	15.0	-0.53	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Jerryd Bayless	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	15.6	13.2	2.35	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Khris Middleton	83	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	13.9	19.3	-5.45	14.8	12.1	2.72
Giannis Antetokounmpo	88	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	1	-10	14.4	17.6	-3.25	14.5	12.7	1.82
O.J. Mayo	52	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	12	-32	15.2	14.3	0.94	14.7	13.9	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0,0	94.1%
ORL 100, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	93.9%
SAS 93, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%