NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	4.7 [896]		MVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): +21.3%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.2 [392]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -12.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.06	0.01	8	94%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.02	0.05	9	95%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.02	23	63%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	83%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	20	44%	0.05	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	3	10%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	8	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	17	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	15	33%	-0.08	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.7	15.7	25.5	2.4	27.5	127.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +60.4%

POR +2.5%

IND -7.6%

IND -6.8%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	14.9	116.8	107.4	105.1
season	15.0	14.6		107.1	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.6		101.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	13.2	15.8	19.1	15.5
IND	15.0	15.6	12.5	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	42	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-6	21	14.5	16.2	-1.62	15.3	14.6	0.71
Damian Lillard	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	5	-1	15.5	15.2	0.34	14.2	16.8	-2.63
Ed Davis	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	0	9	15.2	15.8	-0.66	15.5	14.1	1.36
Allen Crabbe	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	3	3	15.9	14.9	1.04	15.0	14.7	0.34
Gerald Henderson	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-2	13	14.6	16.2	-1.54	15.6	14.2	1.45
CJ McCollum	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	15.8	14.5	1.32	15.2	13.9	1.28
Mason Plumlee	51	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	3	3	15.0	15.9	-0.89	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	15	-21	16.2	14.3	1.94	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Noah Vonleh	35	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.16	-5	14	-19	15.8	15.2	0.55	14.4	15.2	-0.75

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	29	29	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.43	15	-24	39	14.4	15.0	-0.60	16.0	15.2	0.79
Joe Young	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-21	33	10.0	15.5	-5.50	18.7	15.0	3.70
Glenn Robinson	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-21	33	10.0	15.5	-5.50	18.7	15.0	3.70
Ian Mahinmi	38	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-7	5	14.4	15.2	-0.82	15.9	15.2	0.71
Monta Ellis	69	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-5	1	15.0	14.4	0.61	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Myles Turner	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	0	-9	14.4	15.6	-1.20	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Paul George	59	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	4	-17	15.2	14.3	0.85	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Lavoy Allen	33	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-8	7	14.5	15.0	-0.49	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Solomon Hill	28	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	1	-11	15.2	14.7	0.55	16.2	15.1	1.13
George Hill	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	9	-27	16.5	12.7	3.79	15.8	15.0	0.80
Rodney Stuckey	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	14.2	15.3	-1.16	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Jordan Hill	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	10	-29	16.4	13.4	3.05	14.3	16.5	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.28,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
OKC 119, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
SEA 94, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.4%