inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 102 Excitement5.0 [822] MVPReggie Jackson (DET): +11.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 91 Comeback1.2 [647] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (MIL): -19.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.010.011073%0.152-0.031090%0.03
Marcus Morris0.080,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.011467%0.194-0.11250%-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.00-0.021155%0.0700.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00480%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Reggie Bullock0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01850%0.0200.0000%0.00
Justin Harper0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.000.000.031447%-0.001-0.03475%-0.00
Aron Baynes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.0140%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.001737%-0.071-0.04617%-0.08

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.020.042062%0.121-0.022100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01590%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.01280%0.0200.001100%0.00
Jabari Parker0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.01-0.011054%0.082-0.07475%0.01
Johnny O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.03771%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Rashad Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.011050%0.014-0.0800%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.040.001133%-0.073-0.082100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.19-0.04-0.041038%-0.037-0.1610%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.51.825.215.724.31.634.2123.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +12.2%
MIL -1.5%
DET +12.5%
DET +24.4%
DET +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game16.114.714.9109.796.8105.1
season15.014.8104.9102.8
opponent15.315.1107.2105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.818.215.814.316.1
MIL16.016.113.713.414.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Morris79780.52-0.020.54-0.0419-82716.116.4-0.3515.212.32.85
Reggie Jackson60600.280.220.06-0.1013-21515.617.0-1.3515.413.51.90
Tobias Harris68700.280.220.05-0.02101915.817.1-1.3015.113.61.47
Darrun Hilliard25240.280.220.050.1065117.315.71.6314.414.8-0.35
Aron Baynes28280.270.230.030.1256-116.615.90.7413.315.3-1.94
Andre Drummond65660.230.27-0.030.0665115.916.6-0.7415.313.31.94
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope68700.220.28-0.050.0856-115.717.3-1.6314.814.40.35
Steve Blake33340.220.28-0.060.28-213-1517.015.61.3513.515.4-1.90
Reggie Bullock36370.200.30-0.100.26-213-1516.615.80.7413.315.6-2.28
Justin Harper330.000.50-0.500.15-516-2120.016.04.0010.314.8-4.49

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johnny O'Bryant65-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-162111.514.9-3.4019.216.03.25
Tyler Ennis66-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-141711.514.9-3.4016.216.10.04
O.J. Mayo4747-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-8515.913.42.4716.216.10.08
Rashad Vaughn2424-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-10913.715.0-1.3617.715.62.07
Miles Plumlee4040-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-6115.514.11.4716.216.10.08
Steve Novak2423-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-4-313.315.1-1.8115.316.4-1.15
Greg Monroe5453-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.14-6-5-114.115.5-1.4716.116.2-0.08
Jabari Parker6666-0.35-0.15-0.190.03-132-1515.413.02.3916.016.3-0.29
Giannis Antetokounmpo7473-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.07-10-1-914.913.90.9915.717.7-2.07
Khris Middleton7777-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-10-1-914.913.61.3315.718.1-2.34
Michael Carter-Williams5251-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.26-8-3-513.815.7-1.9116.815.31.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 103, SAC 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
CLE 87, CHH 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,094.3%
ATL 102, CHI 960.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,094.1%