NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Excitement	5.4 [758]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +19.4%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.6 [799]		LVP	Raymond Felton (DAL): -8.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.01	9	71%	0.19	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	17	60%	0.14	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	17	60%	0.20	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	9	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.01	0.08	8	87%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.20	0.02	0.07	16	75%	0.20	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	8	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.6	27.9	15.5	25.3	2.4	32.7	134.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +36.0%

OKC +3.9%

OKC +11.9%

DAL -3.3%

OKC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	14.9	119.6	106.2	105.1
season	14.4	15.5		111.5	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.3	13.3	16.6	15.1	14.5
DAL	15.0	14.9	16.9	14.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	57	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-3	19	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.3	16.4	-2.10
Randy Foye	42	43	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-2	17	14.1	14.8	-0.69	16.3	14.4	1.97
Russell Westbrook	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	1	11	14.8	13.5	1.37	15.3	14.9	0.42
Serge Ibaka	73	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	15.1	12.4	2.72	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Enes Kanter	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	14.1	14.7	-0.53	14.7	15.5	-0.85
Kevin Durant	74	74	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	7	-1	14.0	16.1	-2.13	14.9	16.4	-1.58
Nick Collison	23	25	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	9	-5	12.9	14.9	-2.03	15.0	15.3	-0.36
Steven Adams	48	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	10	-7	15.6	13.4	2.22	15.6	14.8	0.79
Kyle Singler	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	9	-5	14.3	14.5	-0.22	11.7	15.6	-3.93
Mitch McGary	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	1.0	14.6	-13.60	22.0	15.2	6.84
Andre Roberson	39	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	18	-23	14.4	14.5	-0.13	16.7	14.2	2.51
Cameron Payne	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	18	-23	13.8	14.5	-0.76	15.1	15.2	-0.14

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	14.5	15.2	-0.74	20.0	14.3	5.65
Justin Anderson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	14.5	15.2	-0.74	20.0	14.3	5.65
Charlie Villanueva	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	14.5	15.2	-0.74	20.0	14.3	5.65
Salah Mejri	21	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-10	7	15.5	15.2	0.32	12.5	14.9	-2.41
Chandler Parsons	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	0	-13	17.0	13.7	3.31	14.6	14.3	0.28
David Lee	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-19	25	13.1	16.3	-3.18	14.9	14.2	0.67
Zaza Pachulia	44	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-2	-9	17.3	13.5	3.79	14.7	14.2	0.48
Jose Juan Barea	28	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-7	1	14.8	15.4	-0.57	13.2	14.9	-1.74
Wesley Matthews	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-8	3	15.4	14.9	0.43	15.0	13.3	1.73
Dirk Nowitzki	74	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-10	7	14.4	18.0	-3.64	14.2	15.2	-0.94
Deron Williams	68	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-8	3	15.4	14.7	0.72	14.9	13.2	1.74
Devin Harris	32	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-2	-9	14.9	15.4	-0.43	13.0	15.1	-2.17
Raymond Felton	70	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	3	-19	14.6	16.8	-2.20	14.4	14.6	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 110, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.23,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
GSW 121, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
WAS 110, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.23,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%