NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	121		Excitement	6.0 [632]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (GSW): +42.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	1.6 [464]		LVP	Anthony Randolph (GSW): -7.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.30	0.12	-0.01	20	86%	0.45	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	15	50%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	19	45%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.10	12	60%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	19	54%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	17	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	13	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	30.4	15.8	27.3	2.4	31.5	133.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.8%

LAC -18.5%

GSW +18.9%

LAC -2.7%

GSW +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.5	118.6	103.0	106.4
season	13.8	15.7		107.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.8	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	13.0	14.6	17.3	14.5
LAC	13.7	15.3	12.5	14.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	60	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.03	22	-4	26	14.4	14.8	-0.40	14.2	13.6	0.58
Anthony Morrow	90	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-6	30	14.3	16.2	-1.86	14.3	11.7	2.63
Corey Maggette	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	5	8	14.3	14.8	-0.43	14.5	13.4	1.09
Ronny Turiaf	24	23	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	8	2	13.5	14.9	-1.40	16.7	13.2	3.58
Kelenna Azubuike	85	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	5	8	14.3	15.8	-1.55	13.5	15.8	-2.30
Stephen Jackson	87	87	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	7	4	15.3	10.3	5.00	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Andris Biedrins	78	77	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	10	-2	14.9	13.5	1.40	13.2	16.7	-3.58
Anthony Randolph	21	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	23	-28	13.5	14.8	-1.27	14.3	13.9	0.41
Marco Belinelli	12	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	24	-30	16.2	14.3	1.86	11.7	14.3	-2.63

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Taylor	8	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-21	24	13.6	14.0	-0.39	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Marcus Camby	50	49	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-22	26	14.4	13.6	0.76	15.8	13.4	2.36
Steve Novak	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-18	18	0.0	14.0	-13.98	0.0	14.7	-14.67
Tim Thomas	25	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-7	-4	14.1	13.9	0.13	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Chris Kaman	81	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	13.3	16.8	-3.47	14.1	16.5	-2.45
Cuttino Mobley	77	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-8	-2	13.6	15.3	-1.66	13.8	16.9	-3.08
Eric Gordon	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-3	-12	15.2	13.3	1.88	16.0	13.7	2.34
Ricky Davis	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-4	-10	13.9	14.1	-0.24	15.1	13.6	1.53
Al Thornton	68	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	-1	-16	14.3	13.2	1.07	14.3	15.1	-0.87
Baron Davis	92	93	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	3	-24	14.0	13.6	0.39	14.6	14.0	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, SEA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
MIA 91, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.5%
OKC 116, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%