NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	119		Excitement	4.6 [910]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +19.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	128		Comeback	1.0 [1216]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -7.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	18	72%	0.18	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	-0.00	0.05	13	69%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	5	73%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	19	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Tarik Black	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	46%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	0.00	14	80%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.01	9	77%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	-0.00	-0.01	14	81%	0.20	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Jarell Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	6	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	27.2	16.3	27.6	2.4	27.6	129.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +49.7%

LAL -2.8%

MEM +4.8%

LAL -4.0%

MEM +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	14.9	124.0	132.0	105.1
season	15.2	15.7		100.1	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.5		106.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.1	14.4	16.6	14.6	15.4
MEM	12.7	15.0	14.1	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	46	46	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-19	29	14.7	16.1	-1.41	14.8	14.1	0.65
Larry Nance Jr.	29	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-20	31	13.4	16.3	-2.85	15.3	14.1	1.24
Brandon Bass	46	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.31	12	-21	33	14.2	16.5	-2.37	15.1	13.8	1.31
Nick Young	38	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.6	16.0	-1.41	14.4	14.5	-0.03
Tarik Black	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.2	15.2	1.00	14.1	14.5	-0.49
Roy Hibbert	32	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	7	-23	16.7	14.7	1.97	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Kobe Bryant	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	16.0	14.6	1.41	14.5	14.4	0.03
D'Angelo Russell	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	2	-13	15.3	15.7	-0.43	14.6	14.0	0.59
Julius Randle	67	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	11	-31	16.3	13.4	2.85	14.1	15.3	-1.24
Jordan Clarkson	80	81	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.14	-17	8	-25	15.9	12.7	3.19	14.1	16.2	-2.09

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	57	57	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.12	25	-16	41	13.4	16.0	-2.65	16.7	13.6	3.10
JaMychal Green	51	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-6	21	13.9	15.1	-1.18	16.0	14.8	1.22
Mike Conley	59	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-5	19	14.3	14.7	-0.35	15.8	14.8	0.93
PJ Hairston	44	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-9	27	13.5	15.2	-1.73	16.3	14.5	1.81
Vince Carter	43	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	14.1	14.7	-0.67	15.6	15.3	0.27
Matt Barnes	75	76	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	2	5	14.9	12.9	2.04	15.1	16.7	-1.70
Brandan Wright	45	44	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	12	-15	15.0	13.9	1.12	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Mario Chalmers	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	16	-23	14.5	14.4	0.07	14.3	16.1	-1.80
James Ennis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	17.3	14.4	2.98	5.5	15.6	-10.12
Lance Stephenson	48	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	20	-31	15.0	13.9	1.02	14.5	16.3	-1.75
Chris Andersen	17	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	16	-23	16.8	13.9	2.89	14.9	15.5	-0.56
Jarell Martin	6	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	17	-25	17.7	14.2	3.44	14.5	15.5	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SEA 99, MEM 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 101, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	95.2%