NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	4.2 [1010]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +17.5%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.0 [1250]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -16.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	78%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	80%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	11	46%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.05	7	93%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	54%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Andrea Bargnani	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	13	35%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	15	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01
Sonny Weems	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	9	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.00	18	62%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	5	89%	0.20	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	55%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	16	51%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02	8	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.8	16.4	27.2	2.7	32.2	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.1%

BOS +9.2%

TOR -7.7%

BOS +16.3%

BOS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.5	105.2	115.8	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		104.7	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	19.0	14.4	13.9	11.9	14.6
BOS	16.1	14.4	14.9	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-11	13	15.4	14.3	1.14	16.7	15.1	1.53
Linas Kleiza	60	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.27	8	-17	25	13.8	15.9	-2.12	16.2	14.5	1.67
Peja Stojakovic	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-18	27	12.2	15.9	-3.65	16.2	15.2	0.95
Leandro Barbosa	60	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.43	13	-22	35	13.9	15.7	-1.85	16.8	13.4	3.40
Amir Johnson	39	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-9	9	15.6	13.9	1.68	17.1	14.5	2.52
Andrea Bargnani	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	14.6	14.4	0.24	15.2	16.8	-1.59
DeMar DeRozan	36	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	13	-35	15.7	13.9	1.85	13.4	16.8	-3.40
Sonny Weems	36	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	8	-25	15.9	13.8	2.12	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Reggie Evans	43	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	10	-29	15.5	13.9	1.58	14.2	16.6	-2.33
Jose Calderon	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	4	-17	14.3	15.4	-1.14	15.1	16.7	-1.53

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	71	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.10	25	-16	41	14.7	18.1	-3.42	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Rajon Rondo	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.09	23	-14	37	15.0	17.4	-2.34	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Paul Pierce	77	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-10	29	15.3	16.7	-1.42	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Ray Allen	87	89	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	15.1	20.7	-5.66	14.4	16.6	-2.13
Shaquille O'Neal	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	-11	31	14.2	16.9	-2.70	15.0	14.2	0.86
Von Wafer	5	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	8	-7	17.8	15.4	2.36	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Glen Davis	51	51	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.44	-15	24	-39	17.3	13.6	3.64	14.1	15.1	-1.02
Semih Erden	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.23	-9	18	-27	17.1	15.2	1.92	15.9	14.3	1.62
Nate Robinson	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.31	-12	21	-33	17.4	15.0	2.34	15.5	14.3	1.18
Marquis Daniels	24	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.34	-16	25	-41	18.1	14.7	3.42	15.3	14.4	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHI 82, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 119, MEM 128	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%