NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	80		Excitement	3.8 [1059]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +18.6%
Brooklyn Nets	96		Comeback	1.0 [970]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -16.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	80%	0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.04	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	10	42%	-0.01	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	5	-0.13	9	56%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	11	79%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	70%	0.07	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.09	11	67%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	56%	0.07	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	7	19%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.5	28.9	15.0	27.0	1.5	28.6	131.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +21.8%

BKN +4.6%

CHI -10.9%

BKN +32.6%

BKN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	16.5	14.7	15.1	87.9	102.1	105.2
season	16.3	15.7		101.1	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	16.3	18.0	16.1	16.5
BKN	14.2	14.4	14.9	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	12	13	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-22	28	16.7	16.5	0.28	13.2	14.9	-1.66
D.J. Augustin	50	52	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.22	9	-25	34	16.3	16.8	-0.46	15.1	14.1	1.02
Nazr Mohammed	19	20	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-21	26	14.8	17.0	-2.17	14.7	14.6	0.11
Jimmer Fredette	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	16.8	16.5	0.35	12.7	14.8	-2.13
Taj Gibson	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-13	10	16.7	16.3	0.41	14.9	14.5	0.40
Joakim Noah	66	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	-3	-10	16.2	17.2	-1.01	14.9	14.1	0.81
Jimmy Butler	82	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.00	-17	1	-18	16.5	17.0	-0.55	14.7	13.9	0.85
Carlos Boozer	56	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	5	-26	17.2	15.3	1.94	14.2	15.4	-1.18
Mike Dunleavy	63	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.10	-22	6	-28	16.6	16.3	0.32	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Kirk Hinrich	60	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.16	-25	9	-34	16.6	16.4	0.18	14.7	14.5	0.24

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	58	57	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.25	30	-14	44	14.7	14.6	0.17	17.3	15.1	2.17
Joe Johnson	62	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.26	29	-13	42	14.4	15.2	-0.75	17.3	15.0	2.30
Deron Williams	72	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.22	27	-11	38	14.6	14.7	-0.09	16.5	16.6	-0.17
Mason Plumlee	45	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	0	16	14.0	15.3	-1.35	17.1	16.0	1.07
Shaun Livingston	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	10	-4	14.7	14.6	0.14	16.1	16.9	-0.78
Andray Blatche	55	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	17	-18	15.0	14.2	0.86	16.1	17.1	-1.02
Andrei Kirilenko	47	45	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	18	-20	15.6	13.8	1.79	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Marcus Thornton	41	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	26	-36	14.6	14.7	-0.17	16.2	16.7	-0.55
Jason Collins	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	12.7	14.8	-2.13	16.0	16.5	-0.53
Alan Anderson	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	12.7	14.8	-2.13	16.8	16.5	0.35
Mirza Teletovic	30	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.26	-13	29	-42	14.9	14.5	0.40	14.8	17.3	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	96.2%
TOR 101, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	96.2%
ORL 80, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%