NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	102		Excitement	4.6 [893]		MVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): +11.2%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.0 [1101]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -11.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	18	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	5	69%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.01	-0.04	8	25%	-0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	19	52%	-0.00	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.02	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	11	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	18	58%	0.11	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	28.6	16.3	23.6	3.4	40.6	141.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.2%

BOS +4.6%

LAC -0.6%

BOS +7.4%

LAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.0	14.8	104.1	108.1	107.7
season	15.0	14.7		110.8	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	14.8	15.6	11.8	14.3
BOS	13.7	15.2	15.1	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	35	37	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.40	15	-20	35	13.7	14.6	-0.84	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Wesley Johnson	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-5	5	15.8	13.8	1.98	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Paul Pierce	12	11	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	14.7	14.2	0.56	13.5	15.2	-1.72
Raymond Felton	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-4	3	14.5	13.9	0.61	14.8	15.2	-0.40
JJ Redick	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-8	11	14.3	14.1	0.25	15.5	13.9	1.59
Luc Mbah a Moute	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	3	-11	14.5	14.1	0.40	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Jamal Crawford	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-8	11	14.0	14.9	-0.93	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Austin Rivers	69	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	13.9	15.0	-1.06	15.2	14.3	0.92
Blake Griffin	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	3	-11	13.9	15.5	-1.55	15.0	14.8	0.27
DeAndre Jordan	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	15	-35	14.6	13.7	0.84	15.1	14.7	0.40

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	71	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-9	23	15.1	14.6	0.47	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Jae Crowder	69	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-10	25	15.1	14.7	0.45	14.3	14.1	0.22
Isaiah Thomas	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-4	13	15.1	14.7	0.41	13.7	16.0	-2.31
Amir Johnson	57	60	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-13	31	14.9	15.1	-0.16	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Marcus Smart	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	7	-9	14.9	15.1	-0.25	13.8	15.0	-1.18
Jaylen Brown	53	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	4	-3	14.7	15.3	-0.69	14.5	14.0	0.48
Kelly Olynyk	45	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.33	-8	13	-21	15.3	14.7	0.61	14.3	14.2	0.08
Terry Rozier	24	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	9	-13	14.7	15.1	-0.41	16.0	13.7	2.31
Gerald Green	16	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	10	-15	14.7	15.0	-0.35	14.3	14.3	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	23	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.22	-13	18	-31	14.9	15.0	-0.14	15.5	13.9	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIL 99, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
VAN 76, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%