NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	99		Excitement	4.2 [964]		MVP	Drew Gooden (MEM): +23.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	117		Comeback	1.0 [475]		LVP	Mike Batiste (MEM): -14.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	22	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	16	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	18	45%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.11	-0.04	14	77%	0.27	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.23	0.02	0.03	17	80%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	8	82%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	5	0%	-0.08	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	26.7	16.8	21.3	2.7	28.2	120.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +51.0%

SEA -1.6%

SEA -3.1%

MEM +3.8%

SEA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MEM	NBA	SEA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	15.5	108.8	130.0	101.6
season	16.5	15.3		101.7	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	15.7	16.5	13.5	15.1
MEM	18.6	17.0	16.2	15.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	29	28	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-24	30	14.3	15.5	-1.16	18.7	15.8	2.92
Vladimir Radmanovic	69	69	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-23	28	14.1	18.3	-4.14	17.0	15.7	1.35
Calvin Booth	41	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-18	18	15.0	15.3	-0.28	17.8	15.9	1.98
Reggie Evans	9	8	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-4	-10	20.7	14.5	6.14	14.9	16.9	-2.00
Predrag Drobnjak	27	26	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	1	-20	16.8	14.4	2.34	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Desmond Mason	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-8	-2	14.9	16.0	-1.10	17.3	14.7	2.65
Brent Barry	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	-2	-14	14.7	16.0	-1.30	15.3	19.9	-4.63
Rashard Lewis	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-2	-14	15.6	13.1	2.55	16.3	18.4	-2.11
Gary Payton	77	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.18	-26	8	-34	15.3	14.1	1.17	16.6	17.2	-0.61

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	59	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.14	25	-7	32	16.1	17.8	-1.69	16.1	13.5	2.54
Pau Gasol	68	66	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	-4	26	16.0	18.9	-2.86	15.4	14.4	1.06
Drew Gooden	63	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.12	22	-4	26	16.0	18.3	-2.28	15.7	13.9	1.79
Jason Williams	61	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	-4	26	15.9	18.4	-2.53	15.4	14.7	0.69
Gordan Giricek	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	-6	30	15.6	18.5	-2.87	15.6	14.4	1.15
Wesley Person	33	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	24	-30	18.5	15.6	2.87	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Earl Watson	29	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	22	-26	18.4	15.9	2.53	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Lorenzen Wright	22	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	22	-26	18.9	16.0	2.86	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Stromile Swift	27	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	22	-26	18.3	16.0	2.28	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Mike Batiste	31	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	25	-32	17.8	16.1	1.69	13.5	16.1	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 119, MEM 128	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 101, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	95.1%