NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	8.2 [241]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +26.1%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	2.9 [591]		LVP	Jordan Hill (IND): -25.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.26	0.20	0.12	0.06	21	70%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	62%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	7	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.14	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	13	42%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.11	-0.00	5	25%	-0.08	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.13	0.01	16	58%	0.24	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	14	73%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.09
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	9	50%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	9	64%	0.16	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	11	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	43%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	28.4	16.0	28.2	2.8	37.0	141.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +76.5%

ATL +1.2%

IND -45.2%

ATL +15.5%

ATL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	14.9	101.1	107.4	105.1
season	14.6	14.2		103.2	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		100.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	15.7	18.2	16.3	16.4
ATL	16.4	12.5	11.8	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Young	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	14.5	16.9	-2.39	13.1	14.1	-1.01
Lavoy Allen	58	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-11	16	16.6	16.2	0.35	14.3	13.2	1.07
Paul George	73	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-14	22	15.8	18.7	-2.93	15.1	10.0	5.07
Myles Turner	46	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-3	0	15.7	17.1	-1.43	14.0	13.8	0.27
CJ Miles	37	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	0	-6	17.6	15.7	1.95	12.3	15.0	-2.76
Monta Ellis	68	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-9	12	16.0	17.6	-1.62	14.8	11.7	3.03
Jordan Hill	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-5	4	16.2	16.8	-0.57	14.2	13.5	0.70
Glenn Robinson	22	23	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	8	-22	18.7	15.8	2.93	10.0	15.1	-5.07
Solomon Hill	30	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	7	-20	17.7	15.8	1.90	12.4	14.6	-2.22
George Hill	68	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	1	-8	16.7	15.7	1.07	14.1	13.2	0.90

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	71	69	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.25	23	-17	40	13.5	15.1	-1.60	16.5	16.2	0.38
Kent Bazemore	67	69	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.21	20	-14	34	12.7	16.6	-3.86	16.1	17.2	-1.05
Mike Scott	34	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-1	8	12.1	14.9	-2.84	16.9	16.1	0.76
Dennis Schroder	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	0	6	13.4	14.2	-0.83	17.1	16.0	1.11
Jeff Teague	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	6	-6	14.1	13.6	0.44	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Tim Hardaway Jr.	26	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	3	0	14.1	13.8	0.32	16.6	16.4	0.20
Kyle Korver	51	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	-4	14	14.0	13.8	0.21	17.0	15.8	1.20
Paul Millsap	63	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	9	-12	14.8	12.1	2.70	16.1	17.0	-0.86
Thabo Sefolosha	45	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.47	-21	27	-48	15.5	12.4	3.13	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Mike Muscala	22	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.16	-15	21	-36	15.4	13.4	1.98	16.2	16.5	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1	92.5%
CLE 95, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,1	92.4%
ATL 89, BKN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.74,1	92.0%