NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	89		Excitement	7.7 [287]		MVP	Keith Bogans (BKN): +18.4%
Brooklyn Nets	94		Comeback	1.8 [798]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -14.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.02	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.01	15	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Louis Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Josh Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	15	36%	0.00	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.15	-0.00	-0.13	0.01	17	55%	0.04	4	-0.18	4	75%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	4	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	62%	0.17	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	17	50%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.03	19	53%	0.11	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.08
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	2	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	0%	-0.05
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	5	8%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.3	28.5	15.4	26.0	1.7	36.4	137.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +10.2%

BKN +15.8%

BKN +22.0%

ATL -0.4%

BKN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.4	93.7	98.9	104.1
season	15.1	16.5		102.6	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	17.3	13.7	15.8	15.1
BKN	13.9	14.0	18.4	14.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-8	11	15.3	15.1	0.23	16.8	14.8	1.99
Louis Williams	20	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.4	15.3	-0.84	13.5	15.7	-2.27
Johan Petro	29	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-7	9	14.0	15.6	-1.56	13.5	16.0	-2.44
Anthony Tolliver	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-3	1	16.8	14.5	2.30	17.2	14.5	2.69
Devin Harris	64	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-8	11	15.3	14.7	0.55	16.2	13.4	2.81
Ivan Johnson	24	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	3	-11	14.6	15.3	-0.66	11.5	16.4	-4.89
John Jenkins	24	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	2	-9	16.5	14.7	1.80	14.1	15.6	-1.57
Jeff Teague	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-4	3	14.8	16.2	-1.38	15.5	14.1	1.44
Kyle Korver	75	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-3	1	15.2	14.9	0.27	15.8	13.2	2.62
Zaza Pachulia	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	2	-9	15.4	14.8	0.57	15.5	14.9	0.69
Josh Smith	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	0	-5	14.7	16.4	-1.69	14.9	16.1	-1.15

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	80	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-2	9	15.7	12.4	3.33	15.3	13.7	1.65
Keith Bogans	41	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	15.1	15.3	-0.18	15.3	14.9	0.40
Deron Williams	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	14.6	17.9	-3.32	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Reggie Evans	55	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	1	3	16.3	13.7	2.63	14.2	16.6	-2.38
Brook Lopez	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	5	-5	15.5	14.6	0.82	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Andray Blatche	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	0	5	15.1	15.3	-0.19	16.4	14.5	1.88
Kris Humphries	13	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	3	-1	14.2	15.4	-1.12	16.4	15.0	1.44
Gerald Wallace	58	59	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	15.0	15.5	-0.47	15.0	15.3	-0.31
CJ Watson	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	6	-7	17.1	14.6	2.49	16.2	14.7	1.46
Mirza Teletovic	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	15.0	15.2	-0.23	15.7	15.0	0.67
MarShon Brooks	21	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	11.3	16.3	-4.96	14.5	15.3	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.2%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.1%
GSW 100, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.57,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	92.6%