NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	8.0 [245]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +25.3%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	2.4 [753]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -16.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	62%	0.18	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.10	0.05	16	53%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	17	46%	0.04	6	-0.20	5	40%	-0.03
David Lee	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	22	40%	-0.04	3	-0.12	6	33%	-0.09

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.16	0.02	12	74%	0.32	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.11	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	18	62%	0.14	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	18	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	40%	0.03	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	7	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	24.4	16.7	24.0	2.4	36.7	131.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -4.0%

DAL +24.2%

DAL +4.9%

DAL +22.1%

DAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	15.5	104.2	107.1	105.7
season	14.8	15.7		106.6	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.8	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	15.3	15.7	13.5	14.7
DAL	16.2	13.5	17.0	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	10	10	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-13	21	16.0	14.5	1.48	15.9	14.9	0.99
Reggie Williams	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-4	3	13.8	15.0	-1.24	15.2	15.0	0.21
Vladimir Radmanovic	11	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-6	7	13.8	14.8	-0.97	12.9	15.3	-2.41
Lou Amundson	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	1	-7	14.9	14.6	0.29	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Andris Biedrins	62	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	0	-5	14.7	14.7	0.00	15.6	14.0	1.64
Dorell Wright	89	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	14.7	14.1	0.58	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Stephen Curry	83	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	14.6	15.5	-0.91	14.8	16.7	-1.98
David Lee	80	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	5	-15	14.5	15.6	-1.06	15.1	14.7	0.41
Monta Ellis	84	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	2	-9	15.1	11.9	3.15	15.2	13.6	1.63

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	67	66	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.23	17	-12	29	14.8	15.5	-0.69	15.0	14.1	0.89
Ian Mahinmi	43	42	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-3	11	14.6	15.3	-0.68	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Dirk Nowitzki	78	75	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	14.9	15.6	-0.74	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Shawn Marion	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.05	10	-5	15	15.2	14.9	0.31	14.2	15.2	-0.91
Jose Juan Barea	38	36	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	-2	9	14.6	15.3	-0.66	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Caron Butler	67	67	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.27	-5	10	-15	15.1	14.9	0.20	15.0	13.9	1.12
Jason Kidd	64	64	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	11	-17	15.0	15.0	0.02	15.1	13.9	1.16
Alexis Ajinca	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	14.3	15.2	-0.86	12.6	15.2	-2.56
Brendan Haywood	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	15.9	14.5	1.38	16.4	13.7	2.73
DeShawn Stevenson	27	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	13	-21	16.1	14.6	1.52	14.4	14.8	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.57,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.79,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 119, MIA 124	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	93.4%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.0%
ORL 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.6%