NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	8.8 [160]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +18.0%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	2.5 [740]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -28.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	14	74%	0.26	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.15
Kerry Kittles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	53%	0.00	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.07
Bobby Simmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.01	9	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	3	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.06,-0.14	0.05	-0.18	0.01	13	64%	0.04	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19	-0.02	-0.17	0.00	4	50%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.11

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.00	8	70%	0.18	0	0.00	7	86%	0.06
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	7	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.05
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.18	4	75%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.01	13	40%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	15	37%	-0.15	3	-0.13	5	60%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	28.1	15.4	26.1	1.8	40.2	139.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.4%

UTA +6.8%

UTA +12.6%

LAC -1.5%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	20.0	15.5	113.8	119.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.7		103.0	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	16.8	16.3	15.9	16.5
UTA	21.8	19.2	19.7	19.4	20.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	64	61	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-12	22	17.4	13.1	4.23	21.3	15.2	6.15
Kerry Kittles	15	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-5	8	16.1	16.6	-0.47	20.3	19.9	0.43
Chris Wilcox	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	0	-2	13.7	16.8	-3.07	19.4	20.1	-0.68
Quinton Ross	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-1	0	17.9	15.7	2.27	19.6	20.2	-0.63
Rick Brunson	20	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	0	-2	14.8	17.1	-2.22	21.7	19.4	2.24
Marko Jaric	62	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-2	2	16.5	16.4	0.09	19.4	21.7	-2.24
Mikki Moore	26	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	1	-4	16.5	16.5	0.04	17.4	21.3	-3.85
Corey Maggette	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	0	-2	15.8	19.0	-3.16	20.0	20.0	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	2	-6	17.3	15.3	1.99	20.1	19.7	0.37
Chris Kaman	62	61	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.47	-9	7	-16	16.0	18.3	-2.35	19.8	20.6	-0.77

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	28	29	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-3	8	18.8	20.6	-1.82	14.9	17.4	-2.53
Kris Humphries	20	22	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-5	12	17.3	20.9	-3.55	14.7	17.2	-2.46
Curtis Borchardt	29	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	-3	8	19.4	20.3	-0.91	15.2	17.3	-2.10
Carlos Boozer	60	60	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	2	-2	20.3	18.8	1.50	16.7	16.0	0.68
Kirk Snyder	13	11	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	0	2	22.6	19.5	3.15	19.2	16.1	3.09
Raja Bell	43	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	5	-8	20.8	19.0	1.79	17.3	15.5	1.83
Gordan Giricek	35	35	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	-3	8	19.0	20.8	-1.79	15.5	17.3	-1.83
Matt Harpring	56	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	4	-6	19.9	20.3	-0.40	16.3	17.2	-0.98
Mehmet Okur	56	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	8	-14	20.4	19.0	1.31	17.5	14.2	3.23
Carlos Arroyo	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	-1	4	21.1	19.2	1.97	18.1	15.4	2.64
Raul Lopez	17	18	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	8	-14	19.7	20.1	-0.36	16.3	16.6	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	92.6%
IND 96, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.85,1	92.5%
ATL 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.48,0.77,0.96,1	92.4%