inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 91 Excitement5.3 [781] MVPMarvin Williams (CHA): +13.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 109 Comeback1.8 [854] LVPNicolas Batum (CHA): -25.4%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0.140,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.030.001465%0.171-0.0330%-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.03560%0.0300.001080%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,00.04-0.010.03859%0.052-0.05650%-0.02
Brian Roberts-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011549%0.031-0.04580%0.02
Frank Kaminsky-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Troy Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.012125%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Spencer Hawes-0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.01642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.011347%0.023-0.084100%0.03
PJ Hairston-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.24-0.05-0.041114%-0.136-0.1300%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.001559%0.122-0.044100%0.02
CJ McCollum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.050.001650%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.010.051361%0.0500.002100%0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00175%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.011951%0.093-0.08540%-0.02
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.020.04675%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.04617%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.031062%0.073-0.081100%0.01
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01650%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.12.429.315.025.01.730.5125.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +25.9%
POR +4.0%
POR +6.9%
POR +12.7%
POR +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAPORNBACHAPORNBA
this game15.315.014.996.8113.5105.1
season15.115.0105.5107.1
opponent14.614.8106.7103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.917.315.014.015.3
POR17.112.712.717.915.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough43440.02-0.520.540.05-1-171615.015.6-0.6116.613.72.91
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist6466-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-161415.115.8-0.6415.713.32.41
Marvin Williams6668-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-222614.916.4-1.5115.414.01.40
Kemba Walker4951-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-151214.815.9-1.0714.415.7-1.32
Troy Daniels1518-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-141015.115.4-0.3113.615.3-1.76
Nicolas Batum7978-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-4-1015.415.10.3115.313.61.76
Brian Roberts4545-0.39-0.11-0.290.05-15-3-1215.914.81.0715.714.41.32
Frank Kaminsky2828-0.45-0.05-0.400.20-224-2616.414.91.5114.015.4-1.40
PJ Hairston3030-0.46-0.04-0.430.01-16-2-1415.815.10.6413.315.7-2.41
Spencer Hawes5152-0.520.02-0.54-0.02-17-1-1615.615.00.6113.716.6-2.91

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allen Crabbe66640.56-0.060.62-0.1725-73214.316.5-2.1515.115.7-0.59
Damian Lillard76730.330.170.16-0.05135814.815.8-1.0914.717.5-2.76
Gerald Henderson43420.300.200.100.21315-1215.714.41.2815.715.00.74
Meyers Leonard34310.290.210.080.0299015.114.90.2016.514.71.77
Mason Plumlee57570.250.250.00-0.10126614.815.3-0.5815.215.6-0.44
Ed Davis39370.250.25-0.000.07612-615.314.80.5815.615.20.44
Al-Farouq Aminu64640.230.27-0.03-0.09117415.114.80.2214.716.6-1.87
CJ McCollum64640.230.27-0.04-0.0499015.414.21.1116.014.01.95
Noah Vonleh37380.060.44-0.380.00216-1414.915.0-0.0715.415.30.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 94, HOU 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.95,1,1,0.99,0.99,194.8%
MEM 96, POR 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
IND 89, MIA 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,194.5%