inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 96 Excitement4.2 [997] MVPMeyers Leonard (POR): +16.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 115 Comeback1.7 [373] LVPMarc Gasol (MEM): -9.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.14-0.020.021075%0.1000.00475%-0.01
Beno Udrih0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.02590%0.0600.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.03-0.00-0.021267%0.113-0.0600%0.00
Tony Allen0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02455%0.0100.00367%-0.00
Jarnell Stokes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Russ Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.08-0.010.084100%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.00642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Green-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00837%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mike Conley-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.020.00835%0.002-0.06475%0.02
Marc Gasol-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.020.031342%-0.071-0.021070%-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.130.02-0.02782%0.1700.003100%0.02
Damian Lillard0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.200.020.101871%0.1200.002100%0.01
CJ McCollum0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.001851%0.111-0.03367%-0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.02759%0.0400.00367%-0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.01657%0.0400.0020%-0.02
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02569%0.051-0.02333%-0.01
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.010.06779%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.01-0.051142%0.032-0.02450%-0.01
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luis Montero0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05425%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.53.429.017.828.32.829.3134.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +40.1%
POR +0.2%
POR +4.0%
POR +4.6%
POR +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMPORNBAMEMPORNBA
this game16.316.314.9107.9130.7105.1
season15.715.0103.4107.1
opponent14.614.8106.7106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.617.417.715.516.3
POR14.217.714.319.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarnell Stokes660.00-0.500.50-0.155-242913.816.4-2.6017.516.21.30
Russ Smith670.00-0.500.50-0.155-242913.816.4-2.6018.616.12.49
JaMychal Green1920-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-232714.716.7-1.9316.616.20.47
Beno Udrih3028-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-191915.916.4-0.5416.416.20.16
Brandan Wright2929-0.13-0.370.23-0.02-4-151117.215.81.3619.714.65.03
Zach Randolph6562-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-5-915.518.3-2.7815.119.0-3.85
Matt Barnes4344-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-6-716.016.5-0.5017.415.22.25
Tony Allen4444-0.25-0.250.010.08-11-8-316.815.71.1116.316.20.11
Courtney Lee5756-0.33-0.17-0.150.06-13-6-716.515.90.5515.717.2-1.47
Jeff Green3635-0.35-0.15-0.210.06-14-5-916.715.90.8316.216.4-0.19
Mike Conley5757-0.45-0.05-0.390.11-190-1916.715.51.1416.216.4-0.21
Marc Gasol5352-0.500.00-0.500.11-212-2316.715.61.1814.818.4-3.51

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Lillard59620.470.030.44-0.2424-52915.418.0-2.6116.815.01.86
Ed Davis40410.400.100.30-0.2723-42716.516.10.4916.715.90.79
Allen Crabbe40390.360.140.22-0.171811716.216.4-0.1516.516.10.41
Maurice Harkless44450.350.150.20-0.151721517.415.12.3016.915.61.23
Al-Farouq Aminu60600.340.160.190.02118316.715.51.2016.815.11.66
CJ McCollum55570.310.190.13-0.07136715.917.0-1.1016.016.7-0.72
Meyers Leonard50530.290.210.08-0.271901915.816.9-1.0716.116.4-0.31
Mason Plumlee41410.100.40-0.290.08118-1715.616.9-1.2216.616.00.61
Chris Kaman760.000.50-0.500.15-524-2918.616.12.4913.816.4-2.60
Luis Montero760.000.50-0.500.15-524-2918.616.12.4913.816.4-2.60
Tim Frazier760.000.50-0.500.15-524-2918.616.12.4913.816.4-2.60
Pat Connaughton77-0.010.51-0.510.14-524-2918.616.12.4911.916.6-4.78
Noah Vonleh2322-0.120.62-0.750.20-1130-4115.316.6-1.2714.516.8-2.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 97, BKN 1220.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
MIN 107, DEN 1220.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
PHX 106, SAS 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,195.4%