NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	7.7 [326]		MVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): +13.8%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	5.8 [85]		LVP	Tony Snell (CHI): -21.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justise Winslow	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	4	80%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	21	56%	0.14	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.07,0,0,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.01	16	50%	0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	41%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	36%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	11	60%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.10	-0.01	12	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	18	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	35%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	15	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.08	0.03	11	25%	-0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	24.5	17.5	24.5	2.5	34.8	127.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +63.3%

CHI -3.1%

CHI -5.5%

CHI -1.9%

CHI -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHI	NBA	MIA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	14.9	94.7	89.4	105.1
season	15.5	14.8		104.5	103.7
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.5	15.0	15.8	14.7	15.5
CHI	14.0	14.4	15.5	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Johnson	54	54	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.37	21	-16	37	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.9	14.0	1.92
Justise Winslow	67	66	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.32	17	-12	29	15.1	16.4	-1.26	16.0	13.0	3.08
Dwyane Wade	67	68	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-9	23	15.3	15.9	-0.58	14.8	16.0	-1.15
Luol Deng	60	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	11	-17	15.8	15.0	0.85	14.5	16.4	-1.83
Chris Bosh	71	70	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	10	-15	16.1	13.7	2.35	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Gerald Green	49	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	2	1	14.7	16.4	-1.71	16.0	14.2	1.78
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	50	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	7	-9	15.9	15.1	0.83	14.5	15.8	-1.34
Udonis Haslem	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	15.2	15.5	-0.30	15.5	15.1	0.47
Beno Udrih	40	40	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.02	-16	21	-37	16.6	14.7	1.90	14.0	15.9	-1.92

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	73	72	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-13	21	14.7	16.6	-1.92	16.2	13.1	3.10
Derrick Rose	26	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-3	1	14.4	15.4	-1.03	15.6	15.5	0.11
Tony Snell	56	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-8	11	15.0	15.3	-0.23	15.9	14.9	0.93
Nikola Mirotic	42	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	0	-5	15.6	14.7	0.85	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Bobby Portis	14	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	3	-11	15.3	15.1	0.19	13.4	15.9	-2.51
Doug McDermott	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	1	-7	15.2	15.1	0.07	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Jimmy Butler	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	15.0	15.6	-0.52	15.9	13.5	2.42
Taj Gibson	59	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	0	-5	15.3	14.9	0.43	15.9	14.9	1.01
Aaron Brooks	64	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	4	-13	15.6	14.1	1.46	15.0	16.4	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.43,0.09,0	91.5%
MIL 91, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0	91.0%
MIN 95, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	90.8%