NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	6.4 [551]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +11.3%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	1.0 [924]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): -22.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.04	20	58%	0.24	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.08
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	13	60%	0.09	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	12	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.06	-0.09	0.06	21	59%	0.05	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	6	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	7	28%	-0.10	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	15	58%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	19	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	12	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.5	15.3	24.5	0.1	33.0	128.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +38.4%

CHI -15.4%

CHI -2.1%

BOS +30.0%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	13.6	14.9	100.0	105.8	105.1
season	14.8	13.9		103.7	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.9		101.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.1	14.9	14.8	14.9	14.6
BOS	10.8	14.5	13.5	16.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	48	49	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.21	13	-22	35	13.7	15.4	-1.70	14.6	12.7	1.85
Bobby Portis	37	39	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.29	13	-22	35	13.7	15.1	-1.41	14.9	12.8	2.14
E'Twaun Moore	16	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-14	19	13.9	14.8	-0.82	16.6	13.1	3.48
Nikola Mirotic	53	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-9	9	14.8	14.4	0.35	13.7	13.6	0.13
Tony Snell	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.5	14.7	-0.18	11.3	15.0	-3.72
Taj Gibson	47	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	14.6	14.7	-0.09	13.3	13.9	-0.56
Aaron Brooks	41	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.5	0.22	14.7	12.9	1.80
Jimmy Butler	78	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.12	-15	6	-21	15.1	12.9	2.27	13.9	12.8	1.08
Derrick Rose	78	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	6	-21	14.7	14.4	0.30	12.6	17.3	-4.70
Pau Gasol	68	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.10	-26	17	-43	15.1	13.6	1.51	13.2	14.4	-1.14

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	79	77	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.10	22	-13	35	12.6	17.1	-4.51	15.0	13.3	1.69
Jared Sullinger	66	65	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.17	19	-10	29	12.8	15.0	-2.19	15.1	13.7	1.40
Kelly Olynyk	56	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-3	15	13.8	13.4	0.32	14.7	14.5	0.28
Isaiah Thomas	69	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-1	11	13.1	14.7	-1.62	15.0	13.9	1.04
Jonas Jerebko	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	6	-3	13.1	14.0	-0.83	14.2	14.9	-0.62
Marcus Smart	60	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	7	-5	13.9	13.2	0.75	14.4	14.9	-0.43
Jae Crowder	72	69	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.34	-8	17	-25	14.5	11.6	2.87	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Evan Turner	41	41	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	17	-25	14.6	13.0	1.64	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Tyler Zeller	31	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	16	-23	15.6	12.7	2.90	14.0	14.9	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.9,1	94.0%
NJN 87, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.6,0.83,0.84,0.95,1,1	93.8%
DET 91, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.99,1	93.8%