NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	5.5 [682]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +17.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.0 [1115]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -19.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	13	57%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jayson Williams	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.04	11	18%	-0.11	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	10	28%	-0.17	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.05

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	9	84%	0.22	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	14	65%	0.10	3	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	12	50%	0.00	6	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.2	1.8	27.4	14.6	28.2	1.8	34.3	127.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +63.0%

NJN -5.8%

SEA +3.5%

NJN -10.7%

NJN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SEA	NBA	NJN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.6	15.6	95.6	106.6	102.5
season	15.6	15.3		104.9	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.2		102.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.1	19.0	14.3	14.1	15.1
SEA	20.2	16.1	14.5	15.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Benoit	33	33	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-15	20	17.8	13.5	4.37	15.1	17.4	-2.29
Sherman Douglas	39	41	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-18	26	17.1	13.5	3.56	15.1	17.8	-2.61
Michael Cage	16	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-11	12	18.2	14.4	3.79	14.3	17.2	-2.87
Lucious Harris	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-14	18	16.6	14.3	2.30	15.3	17.3	-1.91
Jayson Williams	75	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	1	-12	14.4	18.2	-3.79	17.2	14.3	2.87
Kerry Kittles	57	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	6	-22	14.3	16.3	-2.01	16.9	16.0	0.90
Sam Cassell	57	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.07	-16	6	-22	13.2	18.1	-4.87	17.4	15.2	2.20
Keith Van Horn	60	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	3	-16	14.1	17.0	-2.93	16.8	16.1	0.65
Kendall Gill	56	55	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	5	-20	13.8	17.1	-3.33	18.0	14.4	3.68

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	69	68	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-4	18	16.6	16.5	0.17	13.9	18.4	-4.51
Vin Baker	71	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-4	18	16.8	15.9	0.87	14.1	19.4	-5.34
Detlef Schrempf	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-1	12	16.7	16.1	0.67	14.3	17.9	-3.58
Gary Payton	83	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	3	4	16.3	19.1	-2.79	14.7	19.1	-4.45
Sam Perkins	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	8	-6	15.5	17.6	-2.10	16.9	13.4	3.48
Jim McIlvaine	36	36	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	4	2	18.3	15.5	2.81	11.6	17.3	-5.76
Dale Ellis	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.10	-1	11	-12	15.0	17.9	-2.85	19.1	11.5	7.63
David Wingate	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	7	-4	18.3	16.5	1.87	22.0	14.6	7.42
Aaron Williams	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	18.4	16.4	2.07	14.1	15.2	-1.03
Greg Anthony	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	14	-18	17.4	16.3	1.10	18.7	14.0	4.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.6,0.83,0.84,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.97,1,1	94.1%
ATL 81, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1	94.1%
VAN 84, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1	94.0%