NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	5.0 [807]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +16.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.0 [1006]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -11.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.03	0.06	13	56%	0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	14	49%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	14	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.08	0.03	7	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.07	0.02	15	63%	0.18	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	27%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	3.5	32.5	18.8	25.6	2.8	40.2	153.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +48.9%

SAS -2.1%

POR +9.4%

SAS -7.6%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.3	92.3	106.7	106.0
season	15.9	16.7		108.2	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	15.5	16.4	14.4	15.4
POR	16.4	17.3	17.9	14.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	47	44	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-16	20	15.7	15.2	0.48	16.4	16.4	0.06
Michael Finley	27	28	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-22	32	15.0	15.6	-0.56	16.6	16.3	0.30
Antonio McDyess	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-7	2	13.7	16.1	-2.36	15.5	16.7	-1.28
Tony Parker	20	20	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-4	-4	17.7	14.8	2.98	17.2	16.2	1.09
DeJuan Blair	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-4	-4	13.4	16.0	-2.60	17.6	16.1	1.49
Matt Bonner	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-2	-8	18.6	14.4	4.17	17.6	16.0	1.53
Manu Ginobili	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-6	0	14.8	16.3	-1.54	16.5	16.2	0.36
Roger Mason Jr.	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-10	8	15.1	15.7	-0.61	15.1	17.7	-2.58
Tim Duncan	65	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-7	2	16.3	13.3	3.02	16.7	15.5	1.28
George Hill	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-4	-4	14.8	16.8	-2.00	16.4	16.4	-0.07
Richard Jefferson	71	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.06	-22	10	-32	15.4	15.5	-0.09	16.1	17.3	-1.22

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	65	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-3	18	16.3	16.6	-0.22	16.0	13.6	2.44
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	6	0	17.0	15.2	1.71	16.2	13.7	2.50
Greg Oden	46	48	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-1	14	15.8	17.0	-1.26	16.4	14.3	2.05
Steve Blake	70	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	5	2	16.7	15.2	1.48	16.0	13.2	2.80
Andre Miller	61	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-2	16	16.4	16.3	0.13	15.9	14.4	1.55
Travis Outlaw	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	5	2	15.6	17.3	-1.71	14.8	16.0	-1.17
Martell Webster	26	26	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	16.3	16.4	-0.08	13.4	16.2	-2.86
Jerryd Bayless	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	10	-8	13.8	16.8	-2.96	11.3	16.0	-4.73
Rudy Fernandez	25	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	15	-18	16.6	16.3	0.22	13.6	16.0	-2.44
Joel Przybilla	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	15	-18	17.2	15.9	1.36	14.2	16.1	-1.91
Juwan Howard	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	15	-18	20.0	16.3	3.72	14.5	15.4	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.99,1	95.1%
SAS 83, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	94.8%
VAN 84, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1	94.6%