NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	3.5 [1125]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +14.4%
Brooklyn Nets	79		Comeback	1.1 [1299]		LVP	Wayne Ellington (BKN): -10.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.00	0.05	17	71%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	7	68%	0.02	1	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	62%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.06	14	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	7	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	6	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	17	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	10	41%	-0.03	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	26.2	15.5	28.0	1.7	29.4	123.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +12.5%

SAS +4.5%

SAS +18.4%

SAS +11.0%

SAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BKN	NBA	SAS	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	14.9	115.2	85.9	105.1
season	15.7	15.0		109.0	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		109.3	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.1	16.2	15.0	14.7	15.5
BKN	16.6	13.8	15.0	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	6	15	16.7	13.8	2.98	15.0	16.9	-1.83
Tony Parker	45	47	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.25	21	6	15	16.8	14.3	2.48	15.6	16.0	-0.32
Danny Green	36	39	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	8	11	15.6	15.4	0.21	16.1	15.6	0.49
Tim Duncan	41	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	16	-5	16.6	14.6	1.94	14.5	16.9	-2.41
Kawhi Leonard	54	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.25	19	8	11	16.8	13.6	3.20	15.6	16.1	-0.57
Jonathon Simmons	23	23	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	25	-23	14.1	16.0	-1.90	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Boban Marjanovic	27	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	19	-11	13.9	16.2	-2.35	15.9	15.7	0.19
Patty Mills	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	23	-19	15.2	15.7	-0.50	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Manu Ginobili	38	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	20	-13	15.3	15.6	-0.29	14.3	16.7	-2.34
Kyle Anderson	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.15	7	20	-13	14.4	16.1	-1.74	17.7	14.8	2.90
David West	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	22	-17	12.9	16.6	-3.71	17.6	15.0	2.55
Boris Diaw	34	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.21	9	18	-9	15.7	15.4	0.31	17.2	15.1	2.09
Matt Bonner	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	12.4	16.1	-3.72	17.1	15.6	1.59

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markel Brown	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	-22	17	17.8	15.1	2.65	13.5	16.2	-2.66
Thomas Robinson	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.15	-8	-19	11	16.0	15.7	0.22	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Andrea Bargnani	28	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-20	13	17.5	15.0	2.50	13.8	16.4	-2.59
Sergey Karasev	10	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-21	15	15.5	15.8	-0.33	15.9	15.5	0.42
Willie Reed	15	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	-18	9	16.2	15.7	0.49	15.1	15.6	-0.43
Shane Larkin	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.23	-13	-14	1	16.4	15.2	1.14	13.8	17.1	-3.31
Bojan Bogdanovic	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.20	-14	-13	-1	16.5	15.2	1.25	13.8	16.9	-3.09
Wayne Ellington	57	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-15	3	15.2	16.8	-1.67	16.5	13.9	2.57
Thaddeus Young	55	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-11	-5	15.5	16.3	-0.80	16.3	14.4	1.91
Joe Johnson	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.18	-17	-10	-7	15.1	16.7	-1.56	16.6	14.0	2.58
Donald Sloan	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-13	-1	15.2	16.4	-1.14	17.1	13.8	3.31
Brook Lopez	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-13	-1	15.1	17.2	-2.04	16.3	13.9	2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 116, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
ORL 115, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 94, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%