NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	3.6 [1108]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +12.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	79		Comeback	1.0 [625]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -15.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	17	64%	0.20	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.02	6	100%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	33%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Laron Profit	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	67%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	45%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	65%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	16	57%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	10	20%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	11	38%	-0.11	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	26.2	16.7	26.0	2.5	27.6	127.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.8%

LAL +2.0%

LAL +13.9%

MEM -2.5%

LAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.6	106.8	91.9	104.4
season	15.6	17.1		106.2	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	15.0	16.4	16.9	16.2
MEM	18.4	16.4	18.8	14.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.13	22	-7	29	15.7	17.0	-1.30	18.6	14.0	4.66
Lamar Odom	57	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-5	25	16.2	16.2	0.03	18.1	14.8	3.32
Smush Parker	60	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-5	25	15.9	16.9	-1.05	17.9	14.9	3.02
Sasha Vujacic	63	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	2	11	15.5	18.0	-2.55	17.0	16.7	0.30
Chris Mihm	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.16	18	-3	21	16.5	16.1	0.40	18.4	15.9	2.54
Kwame Brown	47	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	11	-7	16.1	16.4	-0.28	16.7	17.2	-0.52
Luke Walton	38	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	17	-19	16.1	16.3	-0.24	14.7	18.7	-4.08
Devean George	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	14	-13	19.9	14.6	5.25	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Brian Cook	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	13.4	16.6	-3.26	17.5	16.8	0.64
Devin Green	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	15.8	16.2	-0.41	8.6	17.4	-8.81
Andrew Bynum	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	15.8	16.2	-0.41	8.6	17.4	-8.81
Laron Profit	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	24	-33	17.1	15.6	1.54	14.0	18.8	-4.79

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Roberts	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	13.5	17.2	-3.74	15.9	16.2	-0.38
Anthony Roberson	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	12.9	17.6	-4.68	17.2	16.1	1.10
Brian Cardinal	17	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-11	7	15.7	17.2	-1.48	18.1	15.8	2.23
Antonio Burks	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-14	13	14.2	18.3	-4.14	17.4	15.6	1.74
Dahntay Jones	43	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-19	23	15.0	18.8	-3.88	17.0	15.4	1.58
Lorenzen Wright	27	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	-4	-7	17.2	16.8	0.42	16.8	15.9	0.91
Mike Miller	69	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	1	-17	17.6	14.1	3.46	16.0	17.1	-1.04
Pau Gasol	59	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-1	-13	17.4	15.9	1.47	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Damon Stoudamire	56	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-1	-13	18.3	14.2	4.14	15.6	17.4	-1.74
Hakim Warrick	54	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-5	-5	17.2	16.4	0.78	15.6	17.4	-1.86
Eddie Jones	54	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	5	-25	18.5	14.2	4.21	15.7	17.0	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAS 88, LAC 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SAC 125, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%