NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	3.6 [1075]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +8.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	74		Comeback	1.0 [1206]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -13.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	67%	0.11	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	7	87%	0.06	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	9	45%	0.02	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	16	31%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	0.06	17	47%	-0.05	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.00	0.03	10	26%	-0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.6	26.8	15.8	29.3	2.5	30.2	129.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.5%

SAS +10.0%

SAS +3.1%

LAC -9.0%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.4	102.3	85.1	104.5
season	16.2	15.7		107.5	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.5	14.4	15.3	19.5	16.2
LAC	17.2	19.0	17.4	14.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	55	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-6	26	16.0	16.5	-0.45	17.8	16.1	1.67
Jacque Vaughn	52	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.15	23	-9	32	15.5	17.1	-1.58	17.6	16.4	1.12
Manu Ginobili	44	44	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	-3	20	15.5	16.8	-1.31	18.8	15.4	3.33
Bruce Bowen	42	44	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	0	14	15.6	16.7	-1.02	18.0	16.3	1.68
Fabricio Oberto	36	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	8	-2	16.6	15.8	0.82	17.4	16.9	0.45
Francisco Elson	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	6	2	15.8	16.5	-0.72	17.3	16.9	0.42
Brent Barry	43	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	13	-12	16.2	16.1	0.14	17.0	17.2	-0.16
Robert Horry	23	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	18	-22	16.3	16.1	0.19	15.6	17.7	-2.14
Matt Bonner	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	20.0	15.9	4.12	10.3	17.6	-7.30
Melvin Ely	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	16.0	16.2	-0.17	6.0	17.5	-11.52
Michael Finley	40	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	20	-26	16.3	16.0	0.26	17.0	17.2	-0.24
Beno Udrih	40	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	23	-32	17.5	15.0	2.59	15.5	18.5	-2.96

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	6.0	17.5	-11.52	16.0	16.2	-0.17
Quinton Ross	23	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-11	8	17.8	16.9	0.89	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Jason Hart	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-10	6	17.5	16.8	0.70	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Tim Thomas	56	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-18	22	16.7	17.9	-1.26	16.6	15.3	1.30
Chris Kaman	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-2	-10	18.2	15.5	2.70	15.3	17.4	-2.09
Daniel Ewing	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	16.7	17.6	-0.92	17.0	15.1	1.85
Cuttino Mobley	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-3	-8	17.4	15.8	1.51	16.6	13.6	3.00
Corey Maggette	72	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-2	-10	16.7	18.9	-2.18	15.9	17.2	-1.34
Elton Brand	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	6	-26	17.2	17.0	0.12	16.4	15.4	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, TOR 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
LAL 94, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
HOU 89, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0	95.5%