NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	4.3 [976]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +8.3%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	1.2 [501]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -17.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.21	5	-0.12	19	79%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	11	54%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	16	46%	0.03	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	-0.03	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.07	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.06	14	63%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Kasun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	5	32%	-0.08	4	-0.09	12	42%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.7	32.3	17.5	29.0	2.5	40.6	153.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.8%

HOU +5.4%

ORL -1.2%

HOU +14.4%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ORL	NBA	HOU	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	15.6	89.9	87.5	104.4
season	16.1	16.4		99.9	104.4
opponent	15.7	16.1		105.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	13.2	14.4	15.6	14.3
ORL	16.5	15.1	16.3	13.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	79	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	1	3	14.4	14.1	0.23	15.3	14.9	0.34
Tracy McGrady	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-4	13	14.0	15.0	-0.94	15.5	14.5	1.05
Rafer Alston	85	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-1	7	14.8	11.4	3.47	15.2	15.2	0.01
David Wesley	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	14.4	14.1	0.29	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Yao Ming	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	-3	11	14.2	14.6	-0.31	14.7	16.7	-2.03
Dikembe Mutombo	24	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	8	-11	14.3	14.3	-0.00	17.7	14.5	3.13
Keith Bogans	52	48	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	9	-13	14.6	14.0	0.63	14.8	15.6	-0.85
Luther Head	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	6	-7	11.4	14.8	-3.47	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Charles Hayes	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	4	-3	14.4	14.3	0.13	14.4	15.5	-1.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	38	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.37	14	-19	33	14.1	16.0	-1.93	15.1	13.9	1.24
Pat Garrity	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-8	11	15.1	15.2	-0.14	12.9	14.7	-1.78
Mario Kasun	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	3	-11	15.9	15.1	0.79	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Stacey Augmon	6	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	1	-7	18.7	15.0	3.68	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Carlos Arroyo	53	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-9	13	15.1	15.3	-0.24	15.4	13.2	2.21
Hedo Turkoglu	67	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.31	4	-9	13	14.9	16.1	-1.22	14.7	13.4	1.29
Grant Hill	74	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.46	6	-11	17	14.6	17.4	-2.78	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Keyon Dooling	43	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	4	-13	15.3	15.1	0.24	13.2	15.4	-2.21
DeShawn Stevenson	46	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	11	-27	16.2	14.4	1.79	14.4	14.3	0.16
Tony Battie	47	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	4	-13	16.4	14.1	2.28	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Dwight Howard	71	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	3	-11	15.1	15.6	-0.57	14.8	13.0	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, LAC 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIA 92, TOR 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAL 94, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%