NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	3.7 [1023]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +28.5%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	1.1 [467]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): -7.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.29	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.22	0.05	-0.01	22	78%	0.29	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.22	0.02	0.07	11	96%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	100%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	12	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	15	63%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	80%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	60%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
David Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.3	17.7	27.6	2.7	26.6	130.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.4%

CHI +1.8%

CHI +25.2%

CHI +0.2%

CHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	17.9	16.8	15.6	139.8	121.7	102.5
season	16.2	15.6		105.8	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		103.9	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.4	18.5	18.3	23.3	17.9
NJN	16.1	15.8	18.6	16.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	0	15	18.1	16.3	1.81	16.9	15.9	0.98
Dennis Rodman	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	1	13	18.2	15.9	2.32	17.5	12.7	4.78
Michael Jordan	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	4	7	18.1	16.2	1.93	17.4	11.8	5.59
Ron Harper	42	42	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.08	16	-1	17	15.9	20.0	-4.12	17.6	15.9	1.64
Scott Burrell	40	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	2	11	18.1	17.7	0.41	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Steve Kerr	37	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	20.7	15.7	4.94	16.0	17.3	-1.29
Toni Kukoc	49	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	17.5	18.6	-1.05	16.8	16.7	0.14
Dickey Simpkins	4	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	16	-17	16.0	18.0	-2.04	8.5	17.2	-8.68
Bill Wennington	9	10	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	16	-17	14.1	18.4	-4.29	14.8	17.0	-2.23
Randy Brown	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	15	-15	16.5	18.1	-1.64	14.3	17.1	-2.87
Jud Buechler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	24.0	17.9	6.13	4.0	16.9	-12.91

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vaughn	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	4.0	16.9	-12.91	24.0	17.9	6.13
Brian Evans	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	8.7	17.1	-8.40	32.5	17.6	14.92
Sam Cassell	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-12	9	13.5	17.0	-3.51	16.6	18.0	-1.43
Rony Seikaly	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-12	9	16.6	16.8	-0.19	14.9	18.8	-3.90
Lucious Harris	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-15	15	16.2	17.0	-0.80	17.0	18.4	-1.36
Kendall Gill	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-6	-3	17.9	15.6	2.22	18.2	17.6	0.60
Keith Van Horn	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-5	-5	16.1	18.2	-2.06	17.8	18.2	-0.32
Jayson Williams	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-7	-1	17.1	15.7	1.47	18.5	16.1	2.41
Chris Gatling	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-1	-13	17.2	16.2	0.96	18.1	17.7	0.37
Sherman Douglas	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-3	-9	17.0	13.5	3.51	18.0	16.6	1.43
Kerry Kittles	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	0	-15	16.8	16.7	0.10	17.8	19.0	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, BKN 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 94, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MEM 102, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%