inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 115 Excitement5.0 [831] MVPJodie Meeks (ORL): +18.5%
New York Knicks 103 Comeback1.1 [584] LVPDerrick Rose (NYK): -7.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jodie Meeks0.180,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.210.010.049110%0.243-0.063100%0.01
Serge Ibaka0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.002055%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Elfrid Payton0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.001254%0.0500.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.001161%0.102-0.0610%-0.01
D.J. Augustin0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.02475%0.0200.0000%0.00
CJ Watson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.03433%0.011-0.001100%0.00
CJ Wilcox0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Hezonja0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arinze Onuaku0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jeff Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.021042%-0.001-0.00475%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.021951%0.032-0.04560%-0.02
Bismack Biyombo-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00675%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.02-0.04957%0.103-0.04367%-0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.02-0.01-0.021161%0.082-0.041100%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.01856%0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Ron Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Maurice Ndour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.03383%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02350%0.013-0.0420%-0.03
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.011745%-0.031-0.02887%0.02
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.02744%-0.021-0.03450%-0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.050.031556%-0.003-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.432.616.624.51.827.4129.4
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +34.8%
ORL +3.3%
NYK -4.0%
ORL +14.3%
ORL +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLNYKNBAORLNYKNBA
this game15.415.114.8119.8110.8107.7
season14.615.0103.0106.6
opponent14.714.9110.0109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.914.515.115.915.4
NYK14.715.516.913.415.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elfrid Payton61590.420.070.350.0114-21615.315.6-0.3115.314.70.62
Jodie Meeks63620.420.080.33-0.0516-42015.515.10.4815.015.3-0.24
Aaron Gordon64610.370.130.240.1484415.714.70.9815.015.3-0.38
Nikola Vucevic64620.350.150.190.0893614.617.0-2.3915.015.4-0.44
Serge Ibaka61590.330.170.150.03102815.615.00.5515.414.50.94
Jeff Green56540.280.220.06-0.01102814.916.0-1.0314.615.7-1.11
Bismack Biyombo35370.170.33-0.15-0.0993616.914.52.3815.814.71.10
CJ Watson38360.090.41-0.320.24-517-2214.815.7-0.8814.715.3-0.61
D.J. Augustin26260.070.43-0.360.01210-816.215.11.1715.315.00.35
CJ Wilcox430.000.50-0.500.09-315-1814.015.4-1.4314.715.1-0.44
Mario Hezonja430.000.50-0.500.15-517-2214.015.4-1.4314.715.1-0.44
Arinze Onuaku430.000.50-0.500.15-517-2214.015.4-1.4314.715.1-0.44

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Baker340.00-0.500.50-0.155-172214.715.1-0.4414.015.4-1.43
Maurice Ndour340.00-0.500.50-0.155-172214.715.1-0.4414.015.4-1.43
Justin Holiday2929-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-121215.115.10.0114.415.8-1.43
Willy Hernangomez3133-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-111015.015.1-0.1514.515.9-1.40
Kyle O'Quinn3133-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-7217.214.13.1015.215.4-0.20
Joakim Noah6566-0.23-0.270.030.03-9-3-614.416.8-2.4716.014.01.95
Lance Thomas4040-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-7-5-214.715.4-0.6515.115.6-0.47
Brandon Jennings4747-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-2-815.314.80.4915.015.7-0.73
Mindaugas Kuzminskas2931-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.15-4-8416.214.61.6115.415.40.07
Derrick Rose5557-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-8-4-414.416.1-1.6216.114.31.80
Carmelo Anthony6869-0.41-0.09-0.310.00-142-1615.115.2-0.1415.215.7-0.46
Courtney Lee6467-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.08-120-1215.115.1-0.0115.814.41.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 106, BKN 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
SAS 99, SAC 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,095.3%
MIN 97, CLE 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%