NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Excitement	5.8 [666]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +26.7%
Washington Wizards	115		Comeback	1.8 [912]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -22.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.21	0.07	0.01	16	78%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.10	0.05	22	65%	0.27	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.00	-0.01	22	65%	0.16	2	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.02	0.04	10	84%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.04	8	68%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jarell Eddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	125%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.05	0.08	19	50%	-0.06	7	-0.17	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.4	29.3	15.6	23.4	2.4	26.6	128.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.2%

WAS -0.7%

CLE +17.6%

CLE +11.0%

CLE +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	17.6	12.7	14.9	127.4	121.1	105.1
season	15.8	13.8		110.3	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		104.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	15.8	18.6	19.7	17.6
WAS	12.1	13.0	12.7	13.0	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	60	59	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.19	19	-13	32	17.0	18.7	-1.75	13.1	12.1	0.96
Kyrie Irving	68	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	0	6	17.5	17.8	-0.23	12.6	13.0	-0.47
LeBron James	78	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.40	2	4	-2	17.8	16.7	1.10	12.6	13.1	-0.43
J.R. Smith	65	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-3	12	18.5	15.6	2.89	12.9	12.3	0.62
Tristan Thompson	68	69	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	9	-12	18.5	15.4	3.08	12.7	12.7	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	57	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.22	1	5	-4	17.2	18.2	-1.00	12.7	12.7	0.02
Kevin Love	57	57	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	4	-2	17.5	17.8	-0.30	12.8	12.6	0.12
Jared Cunningham	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	0.0	17.6	-17.61	15.0	12.7	2.32
Richard Jefferson	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	14.8	18.0	-3.16	11.5	12.8	-1.35
Timofey Mozgov	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	14.8	18.0	-3.16	11.5	12.8	-1.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Eddie	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-3	0	12.1	12.8	-0.70	17.2	17.7	-0.43
Kelly Oubre	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-1	-4	12.9	12.7	0.21	15.8	18.1	-2.37
Garrett Temple	67	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-13	20	12.4	13.5	-1.08	18.3	15.9	2.44
Nene	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-6	6	12.8	12.7	0.17	16.3	18.1	-1.76
Otto Porter	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-8	10	12.6	12.8	-0.20	18.5	15.7	2.74
Marcin Gortat	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-3	0	12.7	12.7	0.03	17.4	18.0	-0.65
Jared Dudley	68	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	12.7	12.7	-0.05	18.4	15.9	2.47
Ramon Sessions	33	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-4	2	12.5	12.8	-0.29	16.3	18.4	-2.14
John Wall	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	12.8	12.1	0.68	17.6	17.7	-0.09
Gary Neal	41	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	10	-26	13.3	12.2	1.12	17.2	17.9	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%
DEN 116, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.17,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
UTA 102, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%