NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	4.8 [857]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +14.9%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	2.8 [116]		LVP	Jim Jackson (SAC): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.00	20	62%	0.15	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
John Stockton	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	91%	0.14	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Tony Massenburg	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	20	64%	0.15	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.00	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	15	53%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	4	62%	-0.03	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	28.2	15.4	25.5	2.4	29.5	127.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.7%

SAC -8.8%

UTA +5.5%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	18.0	12.6	15.5	108.5	97.9	101.6
season	16.3	14.0		103.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.8	15.2	18.9	20.6	18.0
SAC	12.7	13.6	11.1	13.1	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	38	38	0.81	-0.31	1.12	-0.01	28	-18	46	16.7	18.9	-2.18	14.5	11.4	3.10
Calbert Cheaney	72	72	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.10	17	-7	24	17.5	19.8	-2.36	13.1	11.0	2.18
Andrei Kirilenko	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-5	20	18.3	17.5	0.74	12.7	12.5	0.21
John Stockton	55	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-3	16	17.7	18.5	-0.86	12.6	12.7	-0.05
Karl Malone	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	2	6	18.4	16.1	2.31	12.8	11.7	1.14
Mark Jackson	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	18.5	17.7	0.86	12.7	12.6	0.05
Tony Massenburg	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	11	-12	16.3	18.5	-2.16	11.3	13.0	-1.62
Matt Harpring	61	62	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.23	-13	23	-36	19.0	16.2	2.72	11.4	15.1	-3.69
Greg Ostertag	42	42	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	24	-38	18.5	17.6	0.93	12.1	13.1	-0.96

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	21	22	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-19	28	11.3	13.0	-1.73	19.9	17.4	2.48
Chris Webber	26	28	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-17	24	12.9	12.5	0.41	16.9	18.5	-1.59
Gerald Wallace	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-18	26	8.5	13.2	-4.73	25.3	17.0	8.22
Mike Bibby	82	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.22	2	-12	14	12.0	16.7	-4.63	18.7	13.8	4.96
Hedo Turkoglu	28	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	11.8	13.0	-1.20	18.9	17.6	1.26
Damon Jones	10	10	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	1	-12	17.4	12.1	5.34	15.4	18.3	-2.92
Doug Christie	67	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-5	0	13.0	11.8	1.19	17.3	19.9	-2.59
Keon Clark	29	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	8	-26	13.0	12.4	0.59	16.3	18.8	-2.51
Vlade Divac	77	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-6	2	12.5	13.2	-0.74	18.2	17.2	1.00
Peja Stojakovic	91	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	12.6	14.3	-1.76	18.3	11.5	6.80
Jim Jackson	28	29	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.19	-25	15	-40	15.2	11.5	3.63	14.9	19.4	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 127, TOR 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	94.4%
MEM 107, OKC 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.0%
ATL 102, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.7%