NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	127		Excitement	4.8 [859]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +29.4%
Toronto Raptors	121		Comeback	2.2 [812]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -4.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.09	-0.02	19	69%	0.35	3	-0.05	13	92%	0.04
Kevin Durant	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.01	21	62%	0.20	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	4	125%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	15	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	13	42%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	18	64%	0.12	5	-0.09	17	100%	0.07
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.02	0.08	8	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	17	52%	0.04	4	-0.08	12	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	32.1	16.7	30.4	3.6	41.2	154.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +51.5%

TOR -1.8%

TOR -10.3%

GSW +4.4%

GSW +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	TOR	NBA	GSW	TOR	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	14.8	124.5	116.3	107.7
season	13.5	15.2		114.9	110.0
opponent	14.9	15.1		106.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.5	11.3	14.3	14.6	13.2
TOR	15.2	16.8	15.1	12.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	53	54	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-9	24	12.9	13.5	-0.58	15.1	14.4	0.69
Shaun Livingston	36	37	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.03	17	-11	28	13.5	13.0	0.44	17.1	13.5	3.56
Stephen Curry	81	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	1	4	13.0	14.0	-1.08	14.1	17.7	-3.64
Draymond Green	77	79	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	5	-4	12.9	14.0	-1.13	13.8	17.6	-3.79
Kevin Durant	76	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	12	-18	13.1	13.5	-0.37	14.4	15.8	-1.35
David West	31	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-2	10	13.9	12.9	1.08	18.3	13.3	4.93
Zaza Pachulia	30	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-1	8	13.6	13.0	0.54	17.5	13.5	4.00
Patrick McCaw	44	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	9	-12	13.0	13.3	-0.37	13.7	15.6	-1.93
Klay Thompson	70	69	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	15	-24	13.5	12.6	0.86	13.9	16.4	-2.47
JaVale McGee	12	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	11	-16	13.7	13.1	0.64	11.5	15.1	-3.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucas Nogueira	28	28	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.24	11	-17	28	13.9	15.1	-1.23	14.6	12.6	2.01
Pascal Siakam	62	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-12	18	15.2	14.0	1.19	13.5	12.7	0.80
Jonas Valanciunas	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	17.6	13.2	4.36	13.5	13.0	0.53
Terrence Ross	47	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-5	4	14.3	15.1	-0.80	13.3	13.1	0.22
Cory Joseph	45	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	0	-6	14.9	14.7	0.19	13.6	12.9	0.64
DeMar DeRozan	85	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-7	8	14.1	17.6	-3.45	12.7	15.3	-2.62
Kyle Lowry	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	1	-8	15.6	12.0	3.69	13.6	11.8	1.81
DeMarre Carroll	51	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	9	-24	16.2	13.4	2.82	12.6	13.8	-1.23
Norman Powell	30	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	1	-8	10.9	16.3	-5.42	11.6	13.8	-2.24
Patrick Patterson	57	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	13.6	16.1	-2.53	13.0	13.4	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
ATL 102, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	94.1%
BKN 101, BOS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%