NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	7.1 [420]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +16.5%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	1.5 [819]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -21.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aron Baynes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Morris	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	13	39%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Stanley Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	16	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	12	34%	-0.07	1	-0.03	8	12%	-0.13
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	16	37%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	19	31%	-0.18	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.02	8	90%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.10	0.04	18	67%	0.31	7	-0.19	12	83%	0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	14	45%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.09
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	27.5	16.4	27.4	2.5	33.5	133.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +68.2%

IND +6.8%

DET -15.9%

DET -9.4%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	14.9	88.2	100.0	105.1
season	15.0	14.6		104.9	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		101.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	14.4	16.0	16.0	15.5
IND	14.2	13.8	16.0	17.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Jennings	37	37	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.05	11	-23	34	15.0	15.9	-0.91	15.9	14.8	1.09
Anthony Tolliver	33	34	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.01	6	-18	24	14.1	16.4	-2.31	15.4	15.1	0.29
Aron Baynes	23	24	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-18	24	15.0	15.7	-0.67	17.0	14.7	2.34
Stanley Johnson	36	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.13	7	-19	26	14.6	16.1	-1.48	15.5	15.1	0.48
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	1	-14	15.8	13.9	1.89	15.6	13.2	2.45
Andre Drummond	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	6	-24	15.7	15.0	0.67	14.7	17.0	-2.34
Marcus Morris	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	6	-24	15.7	15.0	0.67	14.7	17.0	-2.34
Ersan Ilyasova	60	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	6	-24	16.4	14.1	2.31	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Reggie Jackson	56	57	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.10	-23	11	-34	15.9	15.0	0.91	14.8	15.9	-1.09

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	63	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-4	20	15.2	15.4	-0.15	15.8	15.1	0.73
Monta Ellis	66	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-2	16	15.2	15.5	-0.30	15.6	15.4	0.17
Jordan Hill	41	42	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-3	18	15.2	15.3	-0.11	16.7	14.6	2.13
Lavoy Allen	40	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-2	16	16.0	14.7	1.34	15.6	15.5	0.12
George Hill	70	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.02	16	-4	20	15.5	14.5	1.07	16.1	13.6	2.50
Myles Turner	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	9	-6	14.7	15.4	-0.70	14.8	15.7	-0.89
CJ Miles	51	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	14	-16	14.3	16.4	-2.06	15.6	15.5	0.06
Rodney Stuckey	52	50	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	18	-24	15.0	15.6	-0.57	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Solomon Hill	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	16	-20	15.9	14.9	0.94	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Ian Mahinmi	32	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	18	-24	15.7	15.0	0.66	14.4	16.1	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.82,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.99,1	92.8%
NYK 95, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	92.6%
CLE 83, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.98,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	92.3%