NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	6.7 [481]		MVP	Monta Ellis (IND): +14.5%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	2.4 [583]		LVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): -17.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	17	62%	0.14	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.02
Lamar Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	42%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Muscala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	6	-0.22	14	79%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	9	11%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.02	20	62%	0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.10
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	30%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	28.1	14.7	22.0	2.0	38.0	131.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.8%

ATL -5.9%

IND +2.3%

IND +23.9%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	14.9	90.6	96.9	105.1
season	14.2	14.6		104.1	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		101.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	15.6	13.6	13.5	14.2
IND	17.3	15.0	15.2	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	65	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-15	24	13.0	16.6	-3.55	17.0	13.8	3.19
Al Horford	64	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-10	14	14.2	14.1	0.08	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Kyle Korver	59	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-8	10	13.8	14.8	-0.94	14.8	17.6	-2.77
Mike Muscala	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	0	-6	16.5	13.8	2.64	18.1	15.4	2.72
Jeff Teague	70	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-8	10	13.6	15.8	-2.18	16.4	14.2	2.15
Lamar Patterson	22	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	3	-12	16.7	13.4	3.31	14.5	16.2	-1.72
Paul Millsap	76	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	13.4	17.0	-3.57	16.2	14.2	2.04
Dennis Schroder	23	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	6	-18	16.5	13.5	3.03	13.1	16.7	-3.54
Mike Scott	35	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	3	-12	15.4	13.5	1.97	14.6	16.5	-1.82
Thabo Sefolosha	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	4	-14	14.4	14.0	0.41	16.6	14.9	1.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	51	51	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-5	16	15.2	16.6	-1.38	15.0	13.2	1.84
Rodney Stuckey	51	49	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-9	24	14.7	17.0	-2.30	15.8	12.5	3.35
Jordan Hill	51	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-10	26	14.7	17.1	-2.47	16.6	11.7	4.93
Chase Budinger	28	28	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-4	14	14.8	16.2	-1.41	16.9	13.1	3.83
George Hill	69	71	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	5	-4	15.9	15.5	0.42	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Paul George	67	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	6	-6	16.1	15.1	1.03	13.0	16.9	-3.90
Monta Ellis	73	73	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	9	-12	16.2	14.5	1.77	13.3	17.0	-3.66
Ian Mahinmi	50	51	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.29	-10	16	-26	16.9	14.7	2.25	12.3	16.4	-4.10
Lavoy Allen	40	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.14	-10	16	-26	17.3	14.7	2.62	12.8	15.2	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.97,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 79, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.1%
CLE 74, ORL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
SAC 98, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%