NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Excitement	6.0 [626]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +5.5%
Orlando Magic	81		Comeback	3.0 [312]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -29.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.03	0.05	19	62%	0.13	4	-0.13	9	78%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	16	41%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.20	-0.05	-0.03	5	0%	-0.14	4	-0.08	4	0%	-0.09
Larry Hughes	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.13	-0.12	0.04	17	37%	-0.18	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	6	79%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.06	0.04	8	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	16	58%	0.12	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	11	50%	0.08	6	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	29.4	16.5	28.2	1.8	38.3	141.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +50.8%

ORL +4.6%

CLE -1.3%

CLE -0.8%

CLE -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.4	81.3	90.0	104.5
season	16.0	15.9		103.2	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	17.1	15.8	16.5	15.9
ORL	17.2	12.9	18.5	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	0.0	15.9	-15.90	5.0	16.0	-11.04
Eric Snow	49	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-11	15	14.8	17.1	-2.31	16.8	14.9	1.83
Drew Gooden	69	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-8	9	16.6	13.6	2.99	17.4	11.8	5.63
Daniel Gibson	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	0	-7	16.7	15.6	1.13	15.3	16.2	-0.86
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-9	11	16.0	15.8	0.20	16.4	15.2	1.12
Donyell Marshall	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	12.8	16.7	-3.82	12.9	16.6	-3.75
Larry Hughes	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.9	15.9	-0.06	15.8	16.2	-0.37
Anderson Varejao	41	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	4	-15	15.9	15.9	0.05	14.8	16.9	-2.05
LeBron James	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	0	-7	16.0	15.3	0.69	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Damon Jones	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	5	-17	16.4	15.3	1.11	15.2	16.8	-1.58

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	55	56	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.22	20	-13	33	14.8	17.6	-2.79	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Darko Milicic	60	62	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-8	23	15.4	16.9	-1.42	15.9	16.0	-0.15
Keyon Dooling	45	47	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.17	13	-6	19	16.0	15.8	0.24	15.3	16.5	-1.25
Dwight Howard	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	4	-1	16.1	15.2	0.92	15.6	16.9	-1.30
JJ Redick	26	27	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	-8	23	15.5	16.1	-0.65	16.7	15.6	1.09
Grant Hill	64	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.33	-6	13	-19	16.1	15.5	0.65	15.6	16.7	-1.09
Pat Garrity	9	8	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	0	7	12.4	16.3	-3.86	21.1	15.4	5.73
Trevor Ariza	47	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.21	-9	16	-25	15.4	16.5	-1.13	16.1	15.7	0.42
Tony Battie	36	37	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	17	-27	17.8	14.7	3.09	15.9	15.9	-0.06
Carlos Arroyo	35	35	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.07	-13	20	-33	17.6	14.8	2.79	16.5	15.6	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 79, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.7%
ATL 87, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.97,0.84,1	93.0%
SAS 108, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,1	92.8%