NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	79		Excitement	5.7 [696]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +22.4%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	2.2 [411]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -12.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Marks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.03	16	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	21	38%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	19	52%	0.12	6	-0.20	8	100%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	21	65%	0.28	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	3	70%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.03	12	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	36%	-0.10	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	13	41%	-0.00	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.5	26.6	15.0	24.0	1.7	26.9	126.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.1%

NOH -6.8%

ATL +7.2%

ATL +11.5%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ATL	NBA	NOH	ATL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.6	15.5	94.0	103.5	106.4
season	16.6	15.8		105.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		106.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.9	18.0	16.7	16.4	17.3
ATL	15.6	14.1	17.6	19.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	43	41	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-18	26	19.2	15.2	3.94	17.6	15.8	1.78
Hilton Armstrong	3	3	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.02	3	-13	16	21.0	17.1	3.88	23.0	16.4	6.60
Sean Marks	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-7	4	17.3	17.2	0.08	16.5	16.6	-0.11
Antonio Daniels	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-2	-6	18.3	17.1	1.20	17.1	16.6	0.53
Chris Paul	75	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-8	6	17.1	18.3	-1.20	16.6	17.1	-0.53
David West	76	78	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	17.3	16.5	0.84	16.9	14.0	2.90
Rasual Butler	74	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-3	-4	16.7	21.1	-4.36	16.0	21.8	-5.75
Tyson Chandler	69	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	0	-10	17.1	18.1	-0.98	16.4	17.7	-1.38
James Posey	59	62	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.09	-23	13	-36	16.4	19.3	-2.87	16.4	17.2	-0.75

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	33	34	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-5	20	18.0	15.8	2.28	18.3	16.5	1.78
Ronald Murray	54	51	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	1	8	17.5	15.2	2.34	16.0	19.2	-3.11
Josh Smith	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	-1	12	16.0	19.9	-3.88	17.3	16.7	0.60
Joe Johnson	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	5	0	16.4	18.2	-1.79	17.2	18.0	-0.85
Zaza Pachulia	35	36	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	6	-2	17.7	15.9	1.74	16.4	17.9	-1.58
Mike Bibby	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	6	-2	15.2	19.2	-4.00	17.2	17.3	-0.04
Solomon Jones	13	10	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	4	2	17.6	16.5	1.16	17.6	17.2	0.38
Al Horford	57	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	10	-10	16.0	17.9	-1.91	18.0	15.9	2.11
Mario West	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	33.0	16.4	16.56	11.0	17.3	-6.34
Maurice Evans	34	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	12	-14	17.1	16.3	0.86	18.1	16.8	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 74, ORL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	93.7%
NJN 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
SAS 108, SEA 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,1	93.2%