NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	7.0 [424]		MVP	Eddie House (BOS): +19.8%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	2.4 [968]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -17.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.09	0.21	-0.08	0.04	18	75%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.10	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	29%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	14	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	16	43%	-0.11	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.06	-0.00	9	83%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.05	0.01	15	72%	0.28	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	4	100%	0.19	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	43%	0.01	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	31.2	15.5	27.2	1.8	30.5	129.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.8%

NJN -0.7%

BOS +0.9%

BOS +5.1%

NJN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	113.0	115.2	106.4
season	16.0	15.8		106.5	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	14.6	17.6	17.4	16.3
BOS	16.0	13.6	15.9	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	68	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-14	26	16.5	15.6	0.90	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Ryan Anderson	48	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-6	10	16.1	16.5	-0.40	15.9	14.0	1.89
Keyon Dooling	73	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.43	10	-12	22	15.9	17.7	-1.82	15.2	14.2	1.07
Vince Carter	77	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-5	8	16.2	16.9	-0.76	15.3	13.5	1.77
Jarvis Hayes	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	7	-16	16.7	16.0	0.66	15.0	15.0	0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	9	-20	16.1	16.4	-0.29	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Devin Harris	66	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.49	1	-3	4	16.5	15.8	0.68	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Bobby Simmons	43	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	4	-10	16.9	15.8	1.06	14.1	15.9	-1.81
Josh Boone	24	23	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	12	-26	15.6	16.5	-0.90	16.0	14.7	1.26

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	42	41	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-4	10	14.5	15.5	-1.03	16.6	16.0	0.57
Eddie House	29	28	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-15	32	15.7	14.7	0.94	16.6	16.2	0.40
Kendrick Perkins	82	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.49	-2	4	-6	14.9	15.6	-0.66	16.5	14.9	1.57
Stephon Marbury	29	28	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-11	24	16.0	14.6	1.39	17.0	16.0	1.02
Tony Allen	32	30	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-9	20	14.9	15.1	-0.16	17.2	15.9	1.35
Ray Allen	66	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.41	-8	10	-18	14.9	15.3	-0.41	16.0	17.1	-1.13
Glen Davis	60	62	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	2	-2	15.5	14.1	1.41	15.8	17.2	-1.39
Paul Pierce	58	60	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.42	-14	16	-30	14.7	15.6	-0.92	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Rajon Rondo	62	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.37	-13	15	-28	14.8	15.5	-0.78	16.0	17.0	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%
NOH 79, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.4%
BKN 91, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.96,1	93.3%