NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	5.3 [780]		MVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): +12.5%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.0 [478]		LVP	Bismack Biyombo (TOR): -10.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	88%	0.20	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	17	50%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Ben McLemore	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	80%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	6	44%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	68%	0.15	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	12	69%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	14	46%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	13	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	24	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	31.8	14.6	28.4	1.7	28.0	132.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +59.3%

SAC +8.1%

TOR -9.1%

TOR -7.2%

TOR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	14.9	108.3	96.9	105.1
season	13.9	16.1		104.8	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.6		104.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	13.6	13.9	15.9	14.3
TOR	16.7	14.1	17.4	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	61	62	0.86	-0.36	1.21	-0.11	33	-23	56	13.7	15.3	-1.61	16.9	13.1	3.85
Omri Casspi	69	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.03	22	-12	34	13.4	16.6	-3.16	16.0	14.2	1.84
Ben McLemore	37	37	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.16	22	-12	34	12.9	15.2	-2.33	18.4	13.7	4.72
Rajon Rondo	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-2	14	14.3	14.5	-0.22	15.5	15.7	-0.28
Rudy Gay	83	83	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	6	-2	14.5	13.3	1.17	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Darren Collison	53	54	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.40	-11	21	-32	15.5	12.8	2.73	13.7	17.8	-4.17
Marco Belinelli	51	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.32	-15	25	-40	15.4	13.2	2.20	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Kosta Koufos	48	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.29	-17	27	-44	14.8	13.9	0.94	14.4	16.6	-2.16

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	52	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-12	14	15.5	15.6	-0.12	14.8	13.8	0.98
James Johnson	68	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-14	18	14.9	17.1	-2.22	14.3	14.3	0.03
Kyle Lowry	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-3	-4	15.8	15.2	0.61	13.6	15.2	-1.61
Patrick Patterson	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-15	20	14.1	18.9	-4.80	14.7	13.5	1.17
Terrence Ross	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	15.7	15.2	0.41	15.1	12.8	2.25
Bismack Biyombo	53	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.17	-22	12	-34	16.5	14.3	2.27	13.1	15.8	-2.66
Cory Joseph	57	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	2	-14	16.0	14.9	1.09	15.2	13.2	2.01
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	2	-14	16.1	14.0	2.07	13.7	16.0	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 120, PHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.5%
MIA 108, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
HOU 103, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.0%