NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	4.6 [901]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +18.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	1.0 [1202]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -9.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.03	-0.02	20	64%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.01	10	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	82%	0.15	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Lance Stephenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	40%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.01	0.02	12	86%	0.20	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Alex Poythress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.06	8	94%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.07	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	46%	0.02	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	28.2	14.8	27.0	2.0	42.0	140.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.9%

PHI -8.2%

IND +11.9%

IND +2.9%

IND +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	14.8	122.4	115.6	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		107.5	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.8		107.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.1	14.9	15.2	17.2	14.5
PHI	16.2	15.1	16.1	13.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-5	19	13.7	17.2	-3.52	15.4	14.6	0.74
Myles Turner	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-7	23	14.0	15.2	-1.24	15.8	14.3	1.50
Thaddeus Young	70	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	14.2	15.2	-0.95	15.2	15.2	-0.06
Jeff Teague	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-2	13	13.8	16.3	-2.52	15.3	14.9	0.38
Monta Ellis	57	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	2	5	13.3	16.2	-2.87	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Lance Stephenson	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	8	-7	16.3	13.2	3.13	15.4	15.0	0.39
CJ Miles	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	8	-7	15.9	13.5	2.41	14.4	15.8	-1.37
Aaron Brooks	24	22	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	13	-17	15.8	14.1	1.71	15.2	15.2	0.04
Lavoy Allen	16	14	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	12	-15	15.9	14.2	1.72	16.5	15.0	1.52
Kevin Seraphin	40	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	16	-23	15.6	13.8	1.82	14.3	15.8	-1.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Long	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	15.7	15.1	0.60	15.9	14.3	1.59
Tiago Splitter	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-8	7	17.2	14.8	2.46	12.7	14.9	-2.17
Dario Saric	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	15.3	15.0	0.30	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Nik Stauskas	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-12	15	15.6	14.8	0.78	14.9	14.0	0.86
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	73	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-8	7	14.8	16.6	-1.80	15.1	12.5	2.64
Gerald Henderson	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	15.7	14.7	1.03	13.6	15.3	-1.72
Richaun Holmes	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.6	16.6	-1.99	14.7	14.0	0.75
Alex Poythress	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.30	14.8	14.2	0.63
Justin Anderson	42	44	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	3	-15	15.2	15.2	-0.01	14.2	14.8	-0.58
T.J. McConnell	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	15.0	15.7	-0.69	14.4	15.0	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 124, PHI 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
HOU 103, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.8%
UTA 102, GSW 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%