NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	4.4 [922]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +17.5%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.0 [806]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -15.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.01	14	81%	0.18	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	5	77%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	18	51%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Steve Francis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	59%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	12	60%	0.01	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Montross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Michael Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	26	43%	-0.06	5	-0.09	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	32.5	16.3	24.5	2.4	29.6	131.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +63.1%

HOU +1.7%

DET -14.0%

DET -2.7%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	14.0	15.5	108.4	96.8	100.9
season	16.3	14.3		104.6	97.9
opponent	15.4	14.9		99.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	17.2	16.3	18.3	16.6
DET	16.5	12.1	11.8	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	79	78	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.01	22	-9	31	16.7	16.2	0.51	14.9	9.5	5.33
Maurice Taylor	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	-3	19	16.6	16.7	-0.17	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Steve Francis	85	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	0	13	16.3	19.4	-3.12	13.3	19.2	-5.88
Hakeem Olajuwon	67	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	-4	21	16.8	16.1	0.76	14.0	14.0	0.05
Shandon Anderson	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	-1	15	15.4	17.6	-2.19	14.7	13.5	1.22
Walt Williams	54	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	14	-15	17.6	15.4	2.19	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Matt Bullard	20	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	15	-17	17.3	16.4	0.87	13.3	14.2	-0.93
Kenny Thomas	32	33	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	18	-23	15.9	17.0	-1.11	14.2	13.9	0.23
Moochie Norris	26	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.18	-9	22	-31	17.4	16.3	1.12	13.6	14.1	-0.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	26	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	13.5	14.2	-0.75	15.2	17.2	-2.02
Eric Montross	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-15	17	7.2	14.4	-7.19	17.7	16.6	1.19
Jud Buechler	17	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-17	21	14.8	13.8	1.01	17.3	16.4	0.88
Mateen Cleaves	45	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-21	29	13.9	14.1	-0.22	17.3	15.9	1.42
Dana Barros	53	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-20	27	13.8	14.2	-0.35	16.7	16.5	0.26
Mikki Moore	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-11	9	13.6	14.2	-0.59	16.7	16.6	0.09
Joe Smith	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	14.8	13.1	1.64	17.3	15.9	1.46
Jerry Stackhouse	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	1	-15	14.1	13.4	0.67	16.4	17.9	-1.57
Chucky Atkins	49	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.25	-23	10	-33	13.4	14.6	-1.16	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Michael Curry	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	8	-29	14.5	13.7	0.82	16.3	16.8	-0.45
Ben Wallace	70	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.16	-22	9	-31	14.3	13.0	1.33	16.5	16.8	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.2%
PHX 92, WAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
NOP 111, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%