NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	3.9 [1000]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +3.8%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	1.0 [642]		LVP	Wayman Tisdale (PHX): -6.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	9	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	19	63%	0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	14	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	14	71%	-0.01
Tracy Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	69%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	18	54%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	64%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	14	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.5	28.2	15.5	27.4	2.7	29.5	126.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.1%

HOU +8.3%

HOU +26.9%

PHX -19.3%

HOU +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	14.1	15.6	117.0	103.3	104.4
season	15.5	14.6		107.2	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		106.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	21.6	16.4	16.5	16.9
PHX	14.1	15.4	14.2	12.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	78	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.18	26	-11	37	16.3	19.7	-3.41	14.2	13.6	0.62
Charles Barkley	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-6	27	16.7	19.2	-2.46	14.2	11.4	2.83
Mario Elie	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-5	25	16.2	19.0	-2.77	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Matt Maloney	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-6	27	15.8	18.3	-2.54	14.3	13.8	0.44
Hakeem Olajuwon	68	67	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	7	1	17.5	15.2	2.36	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Kevin Willis	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	11	-7	15.9	17.3	-1.36	14.1	14.0	0.10
Emanual Davis	23	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	14	-13	17.6	16.6	0.93	14.4	14.0	0.46
Othella Harrington	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	13.5	16.9	-3.43	10.0	14.1	-4.12
Tracy Moore	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	19	-23	21.3	16.3	5.00	16.2	13.8	2.40
Randy Livingston	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	22	-29	19.2	16.3	2.92	13.1	14.3	-1.20
Matt Bullard	31	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	28	-41	18.4	16.1	2.28	13.4	14.4	-0.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-12	9	12.8	14.5	-1.74	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Danny Manning	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-12	9	15.1	13.7	1.35	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Wayman Tisdale	25	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-6	-3	13.6	14.2	-0.60	16.9	16.8	0.09
Robert Horry	50	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-11	7	14.7	13.3	1.37	17.3	16.3	1.04
Rex Chapman	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-10	5	13.9	14.3	-0.40	17.2	16.5	0.68
A.C. Green	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	14.4	13.6	0.85	17.1	16.5	0.65
Sam Cassell	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-6	-3	14.6	13.0	1.65	17.2	16.2	1.02
Chucky Brown	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-6	-3	13.3	14.5	-1.20	16.1	17.2	-1.17
Wesley Person	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-9	3	14.0	14.8	-0.78	16.8	17.2	-0.38
Michael Finley	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	4	-23	13.7	15.1	-1.38	16.3	18.4	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 114, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%
MIL 137, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
PHI 95, WAS 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%