NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	4.8 [846]		MVP	Kirk Snyder (MIN): +12.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.1 [517]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -5.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.01	0.04	11	76%	0.16	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Rashad McCants	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	13	77%	0.16	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	17	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	12	37%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	18	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.19	-0.01	0.09	14	71%	0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	11	36%	-0.06
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	16	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	13	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	20	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.6	30.3	15.6	26.2	2.4	28.6	132.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +45.1%

MIN +5.9%

MIN +14.5%

MEM -12.0%

MEM -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.4	121.3	110.5	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		102.2	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		109.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	17.6	16.0	17.0	15.9
MEM	14.9	12.9	15.3	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	59	59	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-4	17	15.2	17.1	-1.91	14.9	14.0	0.92
Marko Jaric	56	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-4	17	14.9	17.4	-2.57	15.2	13.6	1.65
Kirk Snyder	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	1	7	15.9	16.0	-0.17	14.8	13.9	0.92
Al Jefferson	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	-3	15	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.9	13.8	1.13
Rashad McCants	44	46	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	2	5	15.2	16.6	-1.42	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Randy Foye	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	3	3	16.0	15.6	0.48	14.4	15.0	-0.55
Chris Richard	45	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	9	-9	17.6	14.4	3.15	14.1	15.0	-0.98
Michael Doleac	17	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	11	-13	15.2	16.1	-0.83	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Corey Brewer	40	41	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	16	-23	18.0	14.3	3.72	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Mark Madsen	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	14	-19	9.0	16.1	-7.14	8.0	14.7	-6.71

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	49	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-16	23	13.0	16.2	-3.15	16.6	15.2	1.45
Brian Cardinal	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-8	7	13.9	14.7	-0.85	16.7	15.7	0.97
Kwame Brown	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-6	3	12.8	15.3	-2.53	17.4	15.3	2.15
Mike Conley	62	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-11	13	14.8	14.2	0.59	16.2	15.4	0.85
Kyle Lowry	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	14.7	14.3	0.47	16.1	15.5	0.60
Andre Brown	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	15.3	12.8	2.53	15.3	17.4	-2.15
Rudy Gay	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	2	-13	15.4	13.4	1.98	15.3	16.8	-1.51
Hakim Warrick	85	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	14.7	13.1	1.64	16.1	14.5	1.55
Juan Carlos Navarro	48	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	10	-29	14.7	14.5	0.20	14.6	17.2	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 110, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.7%
CHI 104, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAS 101, MEM 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%