NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	3.9 [1060]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +16.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	87		Comeback	1.2 [1056]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (MEM): -15.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.20	0.02	0.06	16	72%	0.18	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	10	85%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	81%	0.08	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	9	59%	0.07	5	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	14%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03
Danny Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier Munford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	55%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	8	25%	-0.07	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	28.5	15.4	27.8	2.7	29.6	130.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.8%

SAS +2.8%

MEM -2.7%

SAS +0.2%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	15.1	14.9	111.0	95.6	105.1
season	15.7	15.7		109.0	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.7	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.6	17.4	16.0	19.6	16.6
MEM	15.8	14.7	16.0	13.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	57	56	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.22	28	-14	42	16.8	16.2	0.58	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Kyle Anderson	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-4	22	17.5	14.2	3.21	15.2	14.8	0.33
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-4	22	17.3	15.4	1.90	15.3	14.7	0.68
Boban Marjanovic	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	6	2	17.0	15.8	1.13	14.8	15.5	-0.64
Andre Miller	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	7	0	18.4	14.2	4.14	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Boris Diaw	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	12	-10	14.2	18.7	-4.52	15.7	14.5	1.13
Patty Mills	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	10	-6	13.9	19.2	-5.22	15.8	14.4	1.39
Matt Bonner	15	16	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	13	-12	19.8	15.9	3.87	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Jonathon Simmons	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	19	-24	17.2	16.4	0.87	13.4	15.5	-2.16
Kevin Martin	43	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.27	-11	25	-36	15.0	18.0	-3.02	15.7	14.4	1.30

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Munford	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	13.0	15.4	-2.39	18.5	16.3	2.22
Ray McCallum	50	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-21	28	15.0	15.1	-0.08	17.3	15.6	1.73
Vince Carter	44	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-17	20	16.3	13.9	2.40	13.8	19.0	-5.17
Jarell Martin	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-18	22	15.4	14.8	0.62	14.8	17.9	-3.07
Chris Andersen	46	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-10	6	14.2	16.0	-1.83	17.0	16.1	0.89
Tony Allen	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-7	0	14.7	15.3	-0.55	16.8	16.4	0.34
Lance Stephenson	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.16	-17	3	-20	16.0	14.4	1.57	16.4	16.7	-0.24
Ryan Hollins	37	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	16.4	14.2	2.24	16.9	16.4	0.54
Matt Barnes	54	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	2	-18	14.6	15.8	-1.19	17.4	15.3	2.05
Jordan Farmar	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	-14	0	-14	14.4	15.9	-1.55	16.5	16.6	-0.07
JaMychal Green	50	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	5	-24	14.8	15.4	-0.53	17.5	15.4	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
WAS 95, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DET 110, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%